Stock Analysis

Guangxi LiuYao Group Co., Ltd's (SHSE:603368) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking After Shares Rocket 26%

SHSE:603368
Source: Shutterstock

Those holding Guangxi LiuYao Group Co., Ltd (SHSE:603368) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 26% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 14% in the last twelve months.

Even after such a large jump in price, Guangxi LiuYao Group may still be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 9.2x, since almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios greater than 31x and even P/E's higher than 56x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/E.

Recent times have been pleasing for Guangxi LiuYao Group as its earnings have risen in spite of the market's earnings going into reverse. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, possibly more than the market, which has repressed the P/E. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

View our latest analysis for Guangxi LiuYao Group

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:603368 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry March 4th 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Guangxi LiuYao Group will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as depressed as Guangxi LiuYao Group's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market decidedly.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 25% gain to the company's bottom line. The latest three year period has also seen a 8.1% overall rise in EPS, aided extensively by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 21% as estimated by the two analysts watching the company. With the market predicted to deliver 41% growth , the company is positioned for a weaker earnings result.

With this information, we can see why Guangxi LiuYao Group is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

The Bottom Line On Guangxi LiuYao Group's P/E

Even after such a strong price move, Guangxi LiuYao Group's P/E still trails the rest of the market significantly. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

As we suspected, our examination of Guangxi LiuYao Group's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook is contributing to its low P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 1 warning sign for Guangxi LiuYao Group that you need to be mindful of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Guangxi LiuYao Group is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.