What Nanjing Xinjiekou Department Store Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:600682) 25% Share Price Gain Is Not Telling You

Nanjing Xinjiekou Department Store Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600682) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 25% share price jump in the last month. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 25% in the last twelve months.

Although its price has surged higher, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Nanjing Xinjiekou Department Store's P/E ratio of 30.2x, since the median price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio in China is also close to 28x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/E without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

For example, consider that Nanjing Xinjiekou Department Store's financial performance has been poor lately as its earnings have been in decline. It might be that many expect the company to put the disappointing earnings performance behind them over the coming period, which has kept the P/E from falling. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

See our latest analysis for Nanjing Xinjiekou Department Store

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Nanjing Xinjiekou Department Store will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

How Is Nanjing Xinjiekou Department Store's Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/E like Nanjing Xinjiekou Department Store's is when the company's growth is tracking the market closely.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 59% decrease to the company's bottom line. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 71% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 36% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term earnings results is a sobering picture.

In light of this, it's somewhat alarming that Nanjing Xinjiekou Department Store's P/E sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.

The Key Takeaway

Its shares have lifted substantially and now Nanjing Xinjiekou Department Store's P/E is also back up to the market median. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Our examination of Nanjing Xinjiekou Department Store revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term aren't impacting its P/E as much as we would have predicted, given the market is set to grow. When we see earnings heading backwards and underperforming the market forecasts, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/E lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Nanjing Xinjiekou Department Store (at least 1 which doesn't sit too well with us), and understanding these should be part of your investment process.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.