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Lacklustre Performance Is Driving Nanjing Xinjiekou Department Store Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:600682) 26% Price Drop
Nanjing Xinjiekou Department Store Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600682) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 26% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 37% in that time.
Even after such a large drop in price, Nanjing Xinjiekou Department Store's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 17.6x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 29x and even P/E's above 53x are quite common. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
For example, consider that Nanjing Xinjiekou Department Store's financial performance has been poor lately as its earnings have been in decline. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think the company won't do enough to avoid underperforming the broader market in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
See our latest analysis for Nanjing Xinjiekou Department Store
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Nanjing Xinjiekou Department Store, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.Does Growth Match The Low P/E?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Nanjing Xinjiekou Department Store would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the market.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 44%. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 54% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 36% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term earnings results is a sobering picture.
In light of this, it's understandable that Nanjing Xinjiekou Department Store's P/E would sit below the majority of other companies. However, we think shrinking earnings are unlikely to lead to a stable P/E over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. There's potential for the P/E to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its profitability.
The Final Word
The softening of Nanjing Xinjiekou Department Store's shares means its P/E is now sitting at a pretty low level. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
We've established that Nanjing Xinjiekou Department Store maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its sliding earnings over the medium-term, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future under these circumstances.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Nanjing Xinjiekou Department Store that you should be aware of.
You might be able to find a better investment than Nanjing Xinjiekou Department Store. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Nanjing Xinjiekou Department Store might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About SHSE:600682
Nanjing Xinjiekou Department Store
Nanjing Xinjiekou Department Store Co., Ltd.
Flawless balance sheet with moderate growth potential.