Ligao FoodsLtd (XSEC:300973) Stock Valuation, Peer Comparison & Price Targets

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 300973 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 300973 (CN¥34.38) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CN¥72.86)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 300973 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 300973?

Key metric: As 300973 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 300973. This is calculated by dividing 300973's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 300973's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	49x
Earnings	CN¥117.72m
Market Cap	CN¥5.77b

300973 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	1.6x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	21.1x
PEG Ratio	1.4x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 300973's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 300973 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	28.4x
300997 HUANLEJIA Food GroupLtd	29.2x	20.2%	CN¥5.3b
603170 Shanghai Bolex Food Technology	24.7x	16.3%	CN¥5.7b
605016 Shandong Bailong Chuangyuan Bio-Tech	22.3x	30.6%	CN¥5.1b
002481 Yantai Shuangta Food	37.2x	n/a	CN¥6.0b
300973 Ligao FoodsLtd	49x	36.1%	CN¥5.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 300973 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (49x) compared to the peer average (27.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 300973's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CN Food Industry?

3 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
002157 Jiangxi Zhengbang TechnologyLtd	2.6x	n/a	US$4.12b
600872 Jonjee Hi-Tech Industrial and Commercial HoldingLtd	4.6x	-46.9%	US$2.26b
002086 Shandong Oriental Ocean Sci-Tech	3.7x	n/a	US$908.96m

No more companies available in this PE range

3 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 300973 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (49x) compared to the CN Food industry average (27.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 300973's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

300973 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	49x
Fair PE Ratio	31.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 300973 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (49x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (31.9x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 300973 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
Date	Share Price	Average 1Y Price Target	Dispersion	High	Low	1Y Actual price	Analysts
Current	CN¥35.13	CN¥39.16 +11.5%	8.4%	CN¥44.00	CN¥34.00	n/a	6
Nov ’25	CN¥36.25	CN¥38.33 +5.7%	9.4%	CN¥44.00	CN¥34.00	n/a	6
Oct ’25	CN¥36.20	CN¥30.92 -14.6%	7.9%	CN¥35.00	CN¥28.00	n/a	5
Sep ’25	CN¥24.41	CN¥35.84 +46.8%	13.9%	CN¥42.00	CN¥29.20	n/a	5
Aug ’25	CN¥25.82	CN¥41.56 +61.0%	12.3%	CN¥46.50	CN¥32.00	n/a	5
Jul ’25	CN¥28.34	CN¥41.96 +48.1%	12.7%	CN¥46.50	CN¥32.00	n/a	5
Jun ’25	CN¥34.80	CN¥41.96 +20.6%	12.7%	CN¥46.50	CN¥32.00	n/a	5
May ’25	CN¥35.82	CN¥47.42 +32.4%	23.8%	CN¥70.00	CN¥32.00	n/a	6
Apr ’25	CN¥34.90	CN¥55.08 +57.8%	25.5%	CN¥77.35	CN¥37.50	n/a	6
Mar ’25	CN¥35.61	CN¥55.08 +54.7%	25.5%	CN¥77.35	CN¥37.50	n/a	6
Feb ’25	CN¥33.39	CN¥55.08 +65.0%	25.5%	CN¥77.35	CN¥37.50	n/a	6
Jan ’25	CN¥48.55	CN¥78.25 +61.2%	5.6%	CN¥83.16	CN¥70.00	n/a	6
Dec ’24	CN¥53.91	CN¥78.25 +45.2%	5.6%	CN¥83.16	CN¥70.00	n/a	6
Nov ’24	CN¥53.31	CN¥78.25 +46.8%	5.6%	CN¥83.16	CN¥70.00	CN¥36.25	6
Oct ’24	CN¥63.65	CN¥86.63 +36.1%	7.4%	CN¥95.00	CN¥77.35	CN¥36.20	6
Sep ’24	CN¥69.83	CN¥92.89 +33.0%	8.2%	CN¥105.00	CN¥81.44	CN¥24.41	5
Aug ’24	CN¥70.02	CN¥101.43 +44.9%	6.6%	CN¥111.17	CN¥93.00	CN¥25.82	5
Jul ’24	CN¥68.42	CN¥104.43 +52.6%	5.2%	CN¥111.17	CN¥95.00	CN¥28.34	5
Jun ’24	CN¥76.67	CN¥106.79 +39.3%	2.9%	CN¥111.17	CN¥103.00	CN¥34.80	4
May ’24	CN¥95.46	CN¥109.04 +14.2%	3.7%	CN¥114.00	CN¥103.00	CN¥35.82	4
Apr ’24	CN¥105.99	CN¥112.31 +6.0%	6.4%	CN¥121.24	CN¥103.00	CN¥34.90	4
Mar ’24	CN¥96.95	CN¥100.05 +3.2%	6.5%	CN¥106.14	CN¥91.00	CN¥35.61	3
Feb ’24	CN¥89.35	CN¥100.05 +12.0%	6.5%	CN¥106.14	CN¥91.00	CN¥33.39	3
Jan ’24	CN¥96.18	CN¥94.34 -1.9%	12.1%	CN¥106.14	CN¥77.20	CN¥48.55	4
Dec ’23	CN¥92.14	CN¥90.69 -1.6%	10.1%	CN¥103.00	CN¥77.20	CN¥53.91	4
Nov ’23	CN¥78.94	CN¥90.69 +14.9%	10.1%	CN¥103.00	CN¥77.20	CN¥53.31	4

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Ligao FoodsLtd Valuation