Shanghai Bairun Investment Holding Group Co., Ltd.

XSEC:002568 Stock Report

Market Cap: CN¥25.6b

Shanghai Bairun Investment Holding Group Valuation

Is 002568 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 002568 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 002568 (CN¥24.58) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CN¥44.23)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 002568 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 002568?

Key metric: As 002568 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 002568. This is calculated by dividing 002568's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 002568's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio35.7x
EarningsCN¥718.45m
Market CapCN¥25.62b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 002568's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 002568 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average20.4x
600702 Shede Spirits
22.2x10.9%CN¥25.4b
603589 Anhui Kouzi Distillery
14.2x8.2%CN¥24.0b
600559 Hebei Hengshui Laobaigan Liquor
24.1x20.9%CN¥19.4b
600779 Sichuan SwellfunLtd
21x10.0%CN¥28.7b
002568 Shanghai Bairun Investment Holding Group
35.7x16.2%CN¥25.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 002568 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (35.7x) compared to the peer average (20.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 002568's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CN Beverage Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
002568 35.7xIndustry Avg. 23.8xNo. of Companies7PE01632486480+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 002568 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (35.7x) compared to the CN Beverage industry average (23.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 002568's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

002568 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio35.7x
Fair PE Ratio24.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 002568 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (35.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.9x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 002568 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCN¥24.58
CN¥22.08
-10.2%
26.2%CN¥32.00CN¥15.00n/a6
Nov ’25CN¥23.21
CN¥20.10
-13.4%
20.2%CN¥26.24CN¥15.00n/a5
Oct ’25CN¥23.05
CN¥19.43
-15.7%
18.3%CN¥25.14CN¥15.00n/a5
Sep ’25CN¥16.77
CN¥19.79
+18.0%
16.7%CN¥25.14CN¥15.00n/a5
Aug ’25CN¥17.79
CN¥19.89
+11.8%
16.4%CN¥25.14CN¥15.00n/a5
Jul ’25CN¥17.09
CN¥24.69
+44.5%
25.4%CN¥36.72CN¥20.00n/a5
Jun ’25CN¥21.19
CN¥25.91
+22.3%
24.5%CN¥36.72CN¥20.00n/a6
May ’25CN¥20.40
CN¥28.32
+38.8%
27.3%CN¥38.57CN¥20.00n/a6
Apr ’25CN¥19.60
CN¥29.62
+51.1%
21.8%CN¥38.57CN¥22.85n/a6
Mar ’25CN¥19.95
CN¥29.62
+48.5%
21.8%CN¥38.57CN¥22.85n/a6
Feb ’25CN¥19.76
CN¥29.98
+51.7%
20.4%CN¥38.57CN¥23.60n/a6
Jan ’25CN¥24.61
CN¥35.78
+45.4%
11.9%CN¥41.60CN¥30.00n/a5
Dec ’24CN¥25.15
CN¥36.32
+44.4%
11.2%CN¥41.60CN¥30.00n/a6
Nov ’24CN¥26.08
CN¥38.19
+46.4%
17.1%CN¥49.79CN¥30.00CN¥23.216
Oct ’24CN¥28.83
CN¥43.67
+51.5%
12.9%CN¥49.84CN¥34.80CN¥23.056
Sep ’24CN¥32.18
CN¥43.67
+35.7%
12.9%CN¥49.84CN¥34.80CN¥16.776
Aug ’24CN¥36.15
CN¥43.67
+20.8%
12.9%CN¥49.84CN¥34.80CN¥17.796
Jul ’24CN¥36.35
CN¥42.17
+16.0%
15.5%CN¥51.35CN¥32.40CN¥17.095
Jun ’24CN¥34.03
CN¥42.17
+23.9%
15.5%CN¥51.35CN¥32.40CN¥21.195
May ’24CN¥40.98
CN¥39.17
-4.4%
17.1%CN¥51.35CN¥32.40CN¥20.405
Apr ’24CN¥40.91
CN¥37.74
-7.7%
18.6%CN¥51.10CN¥30.30CN¥19.605
Mar ’24CN¥41.59
CN¥37.74
-9.3%
18.6%CN¥51.10CN¥30.30CN¥19.955
Feb ’24CN¥36.07
CN¥33.29
-7.7%
5.7%CN¥36.00CN¥30.30CN¥19.766
Jan ’24CN¥37.36
CN¥33.89
-9.3%
4.3%CN¥36.00CN¥31.90CN¥24.615
Dec ’23CN¥36.73
CN¥33.89
-7.7%
4.3%CN¥36.00CN¥31.90CN¥25.155
Nov ’23CN¥32.60
CN¥33.36
+2.3%
3.4%CN¥35.00CN¥31.90CN¥26.084

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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