ShanDongDenghai Seeds Co.,Ltd

XSEC:002041 Stock Report

Market Cap: CN¥8.6b

ShanDongDenghai SeedsLtd Valuation

Is 002041 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 002041 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 002041 (CN¥9.81) is trading above our estimate of fair value (CN¥0.9)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 002041 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 002041?

Key metric: As 002041 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 002041. This is calculated by dividing 002041's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 002041's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio39.4x
EarningsCN¥219.00m
Market CapCN¥8.63b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 002041's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 002041 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average43.6x
300087 Winall Hi-tech Seed
57.1x37.4%CN¥10.2b
002166 Guilin Layn Natural Ingredients
41.4x35.9%CN¥5.9b
600251 Xinjiang GuannongLtd
14xn/aCN¥5.9b
600108 Gansu Yasheng Industrial (Group)
61.7xn/aCN¥5.7b
002041 ShanDongDenghai SeedsLtd
39.4x31.4%CN¥8.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 002041 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (39.4x) compared to the peer average (43.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 002041's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CN Food Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
002157 Jiangxi Zhengbang TechnologyLtd
2.7xn/aUS$4.12b
600872 Jonjee Hi-Tech Industrial and Commercial HoldingLtd
4.8x-46.9%US$2.26b
002086 Shandong Oriental Ocean Sci-Tech
4.1xn/aUS$879.95m
No more companies available in this PE range
002041 39.4xIndustry Avg. 29.2xNo. of Companies21PE020406080100+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 002041 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (39.4x) compared to the CN Food industry average (28.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 002041's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

002041 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio39.4x
Fair PE Ratio29.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 002041 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (39.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (29.7x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 002041 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCN¥9.81
CN¥10.21
+4.1%
9.6%CN¥11.34CN¥9.00n/a4
Nov ’25CN¥10.45
CN¥10.21
-2.3%
9.6%CN¥11.34CN¥9.00n/a4
Oct ’25CN¥9.66
CN¥9.51
-1.6%
3.7%CN¥10.00CN¥9.00n/a4
Sep ’25CN¥8.13
CN¥9.51
+16.9%
3.7%CN¥10.00CN¥9.00n/a4
Aug ’25CN¥8.38
CN¥11.97
+42.8%
10.4%CN¥14.00CN¥10.88n/a4
Jul ’25CN¥8.44
CN¥11.97
+41.8%
10.4%CN¥14.00CN¥10.88n/a4
Jun ’25CN¥9.32
CN¥13.18
+41.4%
20.2%CN¥18.00CN¥10.88n/a5
May ’25CN¥9.74
CN¥13.18
+35.3%
20.2%CN¥18.00CN¥10.88n/a5
Apr ’25CN¥10.11
CN¥17.10
+69.1%
18.2%CN¥22.00CN¥13.50n/a5
Mar ’25CN¥11.21
CN¥18.10
+61.5%
15.1%CN¥22.00CN¥13.50n/a5
Feb ’25CN¥10.14
CN¥18.10
+78.5%
15.1%CN¥22.00CN¥13.50n/a5
Jan ’25CN¥13.23
CN¥18.82
+42.3%
9.0%CN¥22.00CN¥17.10n/a5
Dec ’24CN¥16.01
CN¥18.82
+17.6%
9.0%CN¥22.00CN¥17.10n/a5
Nov ’24CN¥15.09
CN¥18.82
+24.7%
9.0%CN¥22.00CN¥17.10CN¥10.455
Oct ’24CN¥14.23
CN¥18.78
+31.9%
10.1%CN¥22.00CN¥17.10CN¥9.664
Sep ’24CN¥15.16
CN¥19.50
+28.6%
8.5%CN¥22.00CN¥18.00CN¥8.134
Aug ’24CN¥16.51
CN¥20.05
+21.4%
7.1%CN¥22.00CN¥18.00CN¥8.384
Jul ’24CN¥15.27
CN¥20.05
+31.3%
7.1%CN¥22.00CN¥18.00CN¥8.444
Jun ’24CN¥15.69
CN¥20.05
+27.8%
7.1%CN¥22.00CN¥18.00CN¥9.324
May ’24CN¥16.86
CN¥20.00
+18.6%
8.2%CN¥22.00CN¥18.00CN¥9.743

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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