Anhui Gujing Distillery Co., Ltd.

XSEC:000596 Stock Report

Market Cap: CN¥91.1b

Anhui Gujing Distillery Valuation

Is 000596 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 000596 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 000596 (CN¥192.96) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CN¥366.66)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 000596 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 000596?

Key metric: As 000596 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 000596. This is calculated by dividing 000596's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 000596's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio18.5x
EarningsCN¥5.52b
Market CapCN¥91.14b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 000596's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 000596 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average16.1x
603369 Jiangsu King's Luck Brewery Ltd
15.7x12.2%CN¥56.3b
002304 Jiangsu Yanghe Distillery
15.3x7.0%CN¥128.7b
603198 Anhui Yingjia Distillery
18.9x13.9%CN¥49.5b
000568 Luzhou LaojiaoLtd
14.3x10.8%CN¥204.4b
000596 Anhui Gujing Distillery
18.5x12.5%CN¥91.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 000596 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.5x) compared to the peer average (16.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 000596's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CN Beverage Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
000596 18.5xIndustry Avg. 23.8xNo. of Companies6PE01632486480+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 000596 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.5x) compared to the CN Beverage industry average (23.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 000596's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

000596 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio18.5x
Fair PE Ratio25.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 000596 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.6x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 000596 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCN¥192.96
CN¥221.89
+15.0%
8.2%CN¥252.40CN¥190.00n/a9
Nov ’25CN¥191.99
CN¥224.67
+17.0%
8.4%CN¥252.40CN¥193.00n/a9
Oct ’25CN¥203.02
CN¥223.20
+9.9%
6.4%CN¥247.00CN¥196.00n/a9
Sep ’25CN¥172.02
CN¥264.31
+53.7%
22.1%CN¥389.00CN¥208.61n/a9
Aug ’25CN¥179.43
CN¥299.78
+67.1%
16.8%CN¥389.00CN¥208.61n/a9
Jul ’25CN¥207.77
CN¥312.16
+50.2%
12.4%CN¥389.00CN¥236.00n/a9
Jun ’25CN¥250.70
CN¥314.95
+25.6%
12.0%CN¥389.00CN¥236.00n/a10
May ’25CN¥271.24
CN¥298.04
+9.9%
11.6%CN¥340.00CN¥236.00n/a9
Apr ’25CN¥269.00
CN¥297.98
+10.8%
14.5%CN¥381.00CN¥225.00n/a11
Mar ’25CN¥221.51
CN¥305.36
+37.9%
15.0%CN¥381.00CN¥225.00n/a12
Feb ’25CN¥200.06
CN¥314.44
+57.2%
13.2%CN¥381.00CN¥225.00n/a12
Jan ’25CN¥232.80
CN¥322.20
+38.4%
12.5%CN¥381.00CN¥225.00n/a12
Dec ’24CN¥253.39
CN¥322.20
+27.2%
12.5%CN¥381.00CN¥225.00n/a12
Nov ’24CN¥280.40
CN¥320.58
+14.3%
13.1%CN¥381.00CN¥225.00CN¥191.9911
Oct ’24CN¥271.80
CN¥321.78
+18.4%
12.5%CN¥381.00CN¥225.00CN¥203.0212
Sep ’24CN¥292.49
CN¥312.78
+6.9%
14.4%CN¥370.00CN¥225.00CN¥172.0212
Aug ’24CN¥269.15
CN¥319.87
+18.8%
11.7%CN¥370.00CN¥246.00CN¥179.4311
Jul ’24CN¥247.38
CN¥325.69
+31.7%
10.4%CN¥370.00CN¥246.00CN¥207.7711
Jun ’24CN¥254.00
CN¥325.69
+28.2%
10.4%CN¥370.00CN¥246.00CN¥250.7011
May ’24CN¥273.74
CN¥317.33
+15.9%
9.5%CN¥363.60CN¥275.00CN¥271.248
Apr ’24CN¥296.00
CN¥310.92
+5.0%
8.4%CN¥355.00CN¥275.00CN¥269.007
Mar ’24CN¥278.23
CN¥309.63
+11.3%
8.5%CN¥355.00CN¥275.00CN¥221.517
Feb ’24CN¥281.98
CN¥280.49
-0.5%
13.9%CN¥315.00CN¥190.00CN¥200.067
Jan ’24CN¥266.90
CN¥255.60
-4.2%
16.7%CN¥300.00CN¥190.00CN¥232.807
Dec ’23CN¥243.88
CN¥253.60
+4.0%
16.7%CN¥301.00CN¥190.00CN¥253.397
Nov ’23CN¥207.17
CN¥252.46
+21.9%
16.7%CN¥301.00CN¥190.00CN¥280.407

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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