ChenGuang Biotech Group Co., Ltd.

SZSE:300138 Stock Report

Market Cap: CN¥4.2b

ChenGuang Biotech Group Valuation

Is 300138 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 300138 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 300138 (CN¥8.75) is trading above our estimate of fair value (CN¥2.31)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 300138 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 300138?

Key metric: As 300138 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 300138. This is calculated by dividing 300138's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 300138's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio28.2x
EarningsCN¥149.87m
Market CapCN¥4.20b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 300138's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 300138 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average67.3x
300908 Zhongjing Food
25.6x13.9%CN¥4.6b
605338 Zhongyin Babi Food
15.6x7.2%CN¥3.9b
605179 Zhejiang Yiming Food
206.9xn/aCN¥4.5b
300673 Petpal Pet Nutrition Technology
21.2x14.2%CN¥3.6b
300138 ChenGuang Biotech Group
28.2x54.6%CN¥4.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 300138 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.2x) compared to the peer average (67.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 300138's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CN Food Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
002157 Jiangxi Zhengbang TechnologyLtd
2.7xn/aUS$4.12b
600872 Jonjee Hi-Tech Industrial and Commercial HoldingLtd
4.8x-46.9%US$2.26b
002086 Shandong Oriental Ocean Sci-Tech
4.1xn/aUS$879.95m
No more companies available in this PE range
300138 28.2xIndustry Avg. 29.2xNo. of Companies21PE020406080100+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 300138 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.2x) compared to the CN Food industry average (29.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 300138's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

300138 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio28.2x
Fair PE Ratio43.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 300138 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (43.4x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 300138 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCN¥8.75
CN¥9.48
+8.4%
9.9%CN¥10.80CN¥8.65n/a3
Nov ’25CN¥8.66
CN¥9.48
+9.5%
9.9%CN¥10.80CN¥8.65n/a3
Oct ’25CN¥9.45
CN¥8.50
-10.1%
5.7%CN¥9.00CN¥7.84n/a3
Sep ’25CN¥7.52
CN¥11.11
+47.8%
34.5%CN¥16.50CN¥7.84n/a3
Aug ’25CN¥8.00
CN¥14.42
+80.2%
19.9%CN¥16.50CN¥10.35n/a3
Jul ’25CN¥8.50
CN¥14.42
+69.6%
19.9%CN¥16.50CN¥10.35n/a3
Jun ’25CN¥8.96
CN¥14.42
+60.9%
19.9%CN¥16.50CN¥10.35n/a3
May ’25CN¥9.45
CN¥17.31
+83.2%
32.3%CN¥26.00CN¥10.35n/a4
Apr ’25CN¥12.41
CN¥18.68
+50.5%
22.7%CN¥26.00CN¥15.82n/a4
Mar ’25CN¥11.72
CN¥18.68
+59.4%
22.7%CN¥26.00CN¥15.82n/a4
Feb ’25CN¥10.30
CN¥19.91
+93.3%
20.6%CN¥26.00CN¥15.82n/a4
Jan ’25CN¥13.43
CN¥19.91
+48.2%
20.6%CN¥26.00CN¥15.82n/a4
Dec ’24CN¥13.81
CN¥19.91
+44.1%
20.6%CN¥26.00CN¥15.82n/a4
Nov ’24CN¥13.73
CN¥19.91
+45.0%
20.6%CN¥26.00CN¥15.82CN¥8.664
Oct ’24CN¥15.00
CN¥22.90
+52.6%
10.3%CN¥26.00CN¥19.38CN¥9.454
Sep ’24CN¥15.79
CN¥21.86
+38.4%
8.1%CN¥23.40CN¥19.38CN¥7.523
Aug ’24CN¥17.12
CN¥22.20
+29.7%
5.8%CN¥23.40CN¥20.40CN¥8.003
Jul ’24CN¥17.90
CN¥22.20
+24.0%
5.8%CN¥23.40CN¥20.40CN¥8.503
Jun ’24CN¥17.51
CN¥22.20
+26.8%
5.8%CN¥23.40CN¥20.40CN¥8.963
May ’24CN¥18.45
CN¥22.20
+20.3%
5.8%CN¥23.40CN¥20.40CN¥9.453
Apr ’24CN¥18.45
CN¥20.95
+13.6%
2.6%CN¥21.50CN¥20.40CN¥12.412
Mar ’24CN¥18.32
CN¥21.01
+14.7%
2.3%CN¥21.50CN¥20.52CN¥11.722
Feb ’24CN¥19.09
CN¥21.01
+10.1%
2.3%CN¥21.50CN¥20.52CN¥10.302
Jan ’24CN¥17.73
CN¥21.01
+18.5%
2.3%CN¥21.50CN¥20.52CN¥13.432
Dec ’23CN¥16.22
CN¥20.10
+23.9%
7.0%CN¥21.50CN¥18.70CN¥13.812
Nov ’23CN¥16.46
CN¥20.10
+22.1%
7.0%CN¥21.50CN¥18.70CN¥13.732

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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