Stock Analysis
Toly BreadLtd's (SHSE:603866) Returns On Capital Not Reflecting Well On The Business
Finding a business that has the potential to grow substantially is not easy, but it is possible if we look at a few key financial metrics. Typically, we'll want to notice a trend of growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and alongside that, an expanding base of capital employed. This shows us that it's a compounding machine, able to continually reinvest its earnings back into the business and generate higher returns. Although, when we looked at Toly BreadLtd (SHSE:603866), it didn't seem to tick all of these boxes.
What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. The formula for this calculation on Toly BreadLtd is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.13 = CN¥737m ÷ (CN¥7.1b - CN¥1.5b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).
Thus, Toly BreadLtd has an ROCE of 13%. On its own, that's a standard return, however it's much better than the 7.5% generated by the Food industry.
See our latest analysis for Toly BreadLtd
Above you can see how the current ROCE for Toly BreadLtd compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free analyst report for Toly BreadLtd .
What The Trend Of ROCE Can Tell Us
In terms of Toly BreadLtd's historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. To be more specific, ROCE has fallen from 24% over the last five years. On the other hand, the company has been employing more capital without a corresponding improvement in sales in the last year, which could suggest these investments are longer term plays. It's worth keeping an eye on the company's earnings from here on to see if these investments do end up contributing to the bottom line.
The Key Takeaway
To conclude, we've found that Toly BreadLtd is reinvesting in the business, but returns have been falling. Moreover, since the stock has crumbled 71% over the last five years, it appears investors are expecting the worst. On the whole, we aren't too inspired by the underlying trends and we think there may be better chances of finding a multi-bagger elsewhere.
Toly BreadLtd does have some risks though, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Toly BreadLtd that you might be interested in.
If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:603866
Toly BreadLtd
Engages in the produces, processes, and sales of baked products in China.