Stock Analysis
These 4 Measures Indicate That Angel Yeast (SHSE:600298) Is Using Debt Extensively
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Angel Yeast Co., Ltd (SHSE:600298) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for Angel Yeast
What Is Angel Yeast's Debt?
As you can see below, at the end of September 2024, Angel Yeast had CN¥6.75b of debt, up from CN¥5.21b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have CN¥1.74b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥5.01b.
How Healthy Is Angel Yeast's Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Angel Yeast had liabilities of CN¥6.73b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥3.25b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥1.74b as well as receivables valued at CN¥2.51b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥5.72b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
Given Angel Yeast has a market capitalization of CN¥29.2b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
Angel Yeast's net debt to EBITDA ratio of about 2.3 suggests only moderate use of debt. And its strong interest cover of 16.3 times, makes us even more comfortable. Unfortunately, Angel Yeast saw its EBIT slide 9.2% in the last twelve months. If that earnings trend continues then its debt load will grow heavy like the heart of a polar bear watching its sole cub. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Angel Yeast's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last three years, Angel Yeast burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.
Our View
Neither Angel Yeast's ability to convert EBIT to free cash flow nor its EBIT growth rate gave us confidence in its ability to take on more debt. But the good news is it seems to be able to cover its interest expense with its EBIT with ease. When we consider all the factors discussed, it seems to us that Angel Yeast is taking some risks with its use of debt. While that debt can boost returns, we think the company has enough leverage now. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Angel Yeast (including 1 which is a bit concerning) .
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:600298
Angel Yeast
Engages in the production and sale of yeast and yeast derivatives in the People's Republic of China and internationally.