Shanxi Coking Coal Energy Group Co., Ltd.

XSEC:000983 Stock Report

Market Cap: CN¥46.5b

Shanxi Coking Coal Energy Group Valuation

Is 000983 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 000983 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 000983 (CN¥8.19) is trading above our estimate of fair value (CN¥5.26)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 000983 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 000983?

Key metric: As 000983 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 000983. This is calculated by dividing 000983's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 000983's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio11.7x
EarningsCN¥3.98b
Market CapCN¥46.50b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 000983's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 000983 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average12.4x
900948 Inner Mongolia Yitai CoalLtd
7.3xn/aUS$6.3b
601699 Shanxi Lu'an Environmental Energy Development
12.6x16.0%CN¥43.3b
002128 Inner Mongolia Dian Tou Energy
8.5x5.9%CN¥45.6b
600925 Jiangsu Xukuang Energy
21.1xn/aCN¥37.3b
000983 Shanxi Coking Coal Energy Group
11.7x12.3%CN¥46.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 000983 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.7x) compared to the peer average (12.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 000983's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CN Oil and Gas Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
000983 11.7xIndustry Avg. 12.7xNo. of Companies12PE01632486480+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 000983 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.7x) compared to the CN Oil and Gas industry average (12.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 000983's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

000983 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio11.7x
Fair PE Ratio14x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 000983 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 000983 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCN¥8.19
CN¥9.45
+15.3%
6.2%CN¥10.00CN¥8.64n/a3
Nov ’25CN¥8.25
CN¥9.45
+14.5%
6.2%CN¥10.00CN¥8.64n/a3
Oct ’25CN¥9.56
CN¥9.15
-4.3%
6.6%CN¥10.00CN¥8.64n/a3
Sep ’25CN¥7.98
CN¥10.02
+25.5%
10.0%CN¥11.25CN¥8.80n/a3
Aug ’25CN¥8.14
CN¥12.52
+53.8%
7.2%CN¥13.30CN¥11.25n/a3
Jul ’25CN¥10.63
CN¥12.52
+17.7%
7.2%CN¥13.30CN¥11.25n/a3
Jun ’25CN¥11.03
CN¥11.94
+8.3%
14.3%CN¥13.30CN¥9.53n/a3
May ’25CN¥10.50
CN¥11.94
+13.7%
14.3%CN¥13.30CN¥9.53n/a3
Apr ’25CN¥10.11
CN¥11.42
+12.9%
16.5%CN¥13.30CN¥9.53n/a2
Mar ’25CN¥11.64
CN¥11.28
-3.1%
13.8%CN¥13.30CN¥9.53n/a3
Feb ’25CN¥10.42
CN¥11.28
+8.2%
13.8%CN¥13.30CN¥9.53n/a3
Jan ’25CN¥9.88
CN¥11.28
+14.1%
13.8%CN¥13.30CN¥9.53n/a3
Dec ’24CN¥9.88
CN¥10.21
+3.3%
5.9%CN¥11.00CN¥9.53n/a3
Nov ’24CN¥8.58
CN¥9.89
+15.3%
10.1%CN¥11.00CN¥8.57CN¥8.253
Oct ’24CN¥10.06
CN¥10.93
+8.6%
5.9%CN¥11.68CN¥10.10CN¥9.563
Sep ’24CN¥9.03
CN¥10.93
+21.0%
5.9%CN¥11.68CN¥10.10CN¥7.983
Aug ’24CN¥9.07
CN¥12.49
+37.7%
8.5%CN¥14.00CN¥11.68CN¥8.143
Jul ’24CN¥9.10
CN¥12.49
+37.3%
8.5%CN¥14.00CN¥11.68CN¥10.633
Jun ’24CN¥9.69
CN¥13.94
+43.9%
0.4%CN¥14.00CN¥13.88CN¥11.032
Mar ’24CN¥13.25
CN¥13.69
+3.3%
1.4%CN¥13.88CN¥13.50CN¥11.642
Feb ’24CN¥11.72
CN¥13.69
+16.8%
1.4%CN¥13.88CN¥13.50CN¥10.422
Jan ’24CN¥11.65
CN¥17.74
+52.2%
33.8%CN¥26.21CN¥13.12CN¥9.883
Dec ’23CN¥13.11
CN¥17.74
+35.3%
33.8%CN¥26.21CN¥13.12CN¥9.883
Nov ’23CN¥11.58
CN¥13.50
+16.6%
2.8%CN¥13.88CN¥13.12CN¥8.582

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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