Shanxi Coking Coal Energy Group Co., Ltd.

SZSE:000983 Stock Report

Market Cap: CN¥59.6b

Shanxi Coking Coal Energy Group Valuation

Is 983 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 983 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 000983 (CN¥10.5) is trading above our estimate of fair value (CN¥6.51)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 000983 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 983?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

983 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.2x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA4.6x
PEG Ratio1x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 983's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 983 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average11.5x
601699 Shanxi Lu'an Environmental Energy Development
10.8x6.9%CN¥63.2b
900948 Inner Mongolia Yitai CoalLtd
6.6xn/aUS$5.7b
002128 Inner Mongolia Dian Tou Energy
9.7x3.7%CN¥47.2b
600925 Jiangsu Xukuang Energy
18.9xn/aCN¥37.5b
000983 Shanxi Coking Coal Energy Group
11.4x10.9%CN¥59.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 000983 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.4x) compared to the peer average (11.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 983's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CN Oil and Gas Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a11.2%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a11.2%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 000983 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.4x) compared to the CN Oil and Gas industry average (13.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 983's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

983 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio11.4x
Fair PE Ratio15.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 000983 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 983 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCN¥10.50
CN¥11.94
+13.7%
14.3%CN¥13.30CN¥9.53n/a3
Apr ’25CN¥10.11
CN¥11.42
+12.9%
16.5%CN¥13.30CN¥9.53n/a2
Mar ’25CN¥11.64
CN¥11.28
-3.1%
13.8%CN¥13.30CN¥9.53n/a3
Feb ’25CN¥10.42
CN¥11.28
+8.2%
13.8%CN¥13.30CN¥9.53n/a3
Jan ’25CN¥9.88
CN¥11.28
+14.1%
13.8%CN¥13.30CN¥9.53n/a3
Dec ’24CN¥9.88
CN¥10.21
+3.3%
5.9%CN¥11.00CN¥9.53n/a3
Nov ’24CN¥8.58
CN¥9.89
+15.3%
10.1%CN¥11.00CN¥8.57n/a3
Oct ’24CN¥10.06
CN¥10.93
+8.6%
5.9%CN¥11.68CN¥10.10n/a3
Sep ’24CN¥9.03
CN¥10.93
+21.0%
5.9%CN¥11.68CN¥10.10n/a3
Aug ’24CN¥9.07
CN¥12.49
+37.7%
8.5%CN¥14.00CN¥11.68n/a3
Jul ’24CN¥9.10
CN¥12.49
+37.3%
8.5%CN¥14.00CN¥11.68n/a3
Jun ’24CN¥9.69
CN¥13.94
+43.9%
0.4%CN¥14.00CN¥13.88n/a2
Mar ’24CN¥13.25
CN¥13.69
+3.3%
1.4%CN¥13.88CN¥13.50CN¥11.642
Feb ’24CN¥11.72
CN¥13.69
+16.8%
1.4%CN¥13.88CN¥13.50CN¥10.422
Jan ’24CN¥11.65
CN¥17.74
+52.2%
33.8%CN¥26.21CN¥13.12CN¥9.883
Dec ’23CN¥13.11
CN¥17.74
+35.3%
33.8%CN¥26.21CN¥13.12CN¥9.883
Nov ’23CN¥11.58
CN¥13.50
+16.6%
2.8%CN¥13.88CN¥13.12CN¥8.582
Oct ’23CN¥14.98
CN¥13.50
-9.9%
2.8%CN¥13.88CN¥13.12CN¥10.062

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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