Guotai Haitong Securities Co., Ltd.

XSSC:601211 Stock Report

Market Cap: CN¥280.1b

Guotai Haitong Securities Valuation

Is 601211 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 601211 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
CN¥7.62
Fair Value
128.0% overvalued intrinsic discount
7
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: 601211 (CN¥17.37) is trading above our estimate of fair value (CN¥7.62)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 601211 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 601211?

Key metric: As 601211 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 601211. This is calculated by dividing 601211's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 601211's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio13.8x
EarningsCN¥22.06b
Market CapCN¥280.07b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 601211's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 601211 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average13.5x
600030 CITIC Securities
17x10.0%CN¥362.0b
601688 Huatai Securities
10x4.5%CN¥137.3b
600999 China Merchants Securities
14.6x9.5%CN¥138.6b
000776 GF Securities
12.2x5.6%CN¥110.1b
601211 Guotai Haitong Securities
13.8x-5.0%CN¥280.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 601211 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.8x) compared to the peer average (13.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 601211's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CN Capital Markets Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
601211 13.8xIndustry Avg. 23.9xNo. of Companies11PE01632486480+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 601211 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.8x) compared to the CN Capital Markets industry average (23.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 601211's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

601211 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio13.8x
Fair PE Ratio21.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 601211 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 601211 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCN¥17.39
CN¥21.49
+23.6%
8.9%CN¥24.00CN¥18.40n/a7
May ’26CN¥17.23
CN¥20.63
+19.7%
17.8%CN¥24.00CN¥12.34n/a7
Apr ’26CN¥17.21
CN¥22.03
+28.0%
12.0%CN¥27.64CN¥18.80n/a8
Mar ’26CN¥17.33
CN¥19.73
+13.8%
23.2%CN¥27.33CN¥13.40n/a8
Feb ’26CN¥17.73
CN¥19.73
+11.3%
23.2%CN¥27.33CN¥13.40n/a8
Jan ’26CN¥18.65
CN¥19.73
+5.8%
23.2%CN¥27.33CN¥13.40n/a8
Dec ’25CN¥18.93
CN¥19.40
+2.5%
22.8%CN¥27.33CN¥13.40n/a9
Nov ’25CN¥18.87
CN¥18.51
-1.9%
22.7%CN¥27.33CN¥13.40n/a9
Oct ’25n/a
CN¥16.91
0%
11.8%CN¥19.50CN¥13.40n/a9
Sep ’25CN¥14.76
CN¥16.81
+13.9%
11.6%CN¥19.50CN¥13.40n/a10
Aug ’25CN¥14.55
CN¥17.83
+22.5%
13.0%CN¥22.01CN¥15.00n/a10
Jul ’25CN¥13.78
CN¥17.83
+29.4%
13.0%CN¥22.01CN¥15.00n/a10
Jun ’25CN¥13.94
CN¥17.83
+27.9%
13.0%CN¥22.01CN¥15.00n/a10
May ’25CN¥13.76
CN¥17.77
+29.1%
12.9%CN¥22.01CN¥15.00CN¥17.2310
Apr ’25CN¥13.97
CN¥18.32
+31.1%
10.9%CN¥21.05CN¥16.00CN¥17.219
Mar ’25CN¥15.10
CN¥18.42
+22.0%
11.4%CN¥21.83CN¥16.00CN¥17.339
Feb ’25CN¥14.64
CN¥17.64
+20.5%
19.8%CN¥21.83CN¥9.49CN¥17.739
Jan ’25CN¥14.88
CN¥17.27
+16.0%
19.2%CN¥21.83CN¥9.49CN¥18.659
Dec ’24CN¥15.07
CN¥17.13
+13.6%
20.3%CN¥21.83CN¥9.49CN¥18.938
Nov ’24CN¥14.92
CN¥17.13
+14.8%
20.3%CN¥21.83CN¥9.49CN¥18.878
Oct ’24CN¥14.54
CN¥17.53
+20.6%
19.5%CN¥22.84CN¥9.49n/a10
Sep ’24CN¥14.57
CN¥17.46
+19.9%
19.7%CN¥22.84CN¥9.49CN¥14.7610
Aug ’24CN¥15.50
CN¥17.56
+13.3%
18.6%CN¥21.40CN¥9.49CN¥14.5510
Jul ’24CN¥13.99
CN¥17.65
+26.2%
18.6%CN¥21.40CN¥9.49CN¥13.7810
Jun ’24CN¥14.80
CN¥17.65
+19.3%
18.6%CN¥21.40CN¥9.49CN¥13.9410
May ’24CN¥15.12
CN¥17.73
+17.3%
19.0%CN¥21.70CN¥9.49CN¥13.7610
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 7 Analysts
CN¥21.49
Fair Value
19.2% undervalued intrinsic discount
7
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


Discover undervalued companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/05/07 15:49
End of Day Share Price 2025/05/07 00:00
Earnings2025/03/31
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Guotai Haitong Securities Co., Ltd. is covered by 23 analysts. 4 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Yifan LiuBofA Global Research
Yifan LiuBofA Global Research
Yung ChenCCB International Securities Limited