China Great Wall SecuritiesLtd Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of 002939 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

002939 (CN¥8.54) is trading above our estimate of [[fair value]] (CN¥2.32)

Is 002939 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 002939 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 002939 (CN¥8.54) is trading above our estimate of fair value (CN¥2.32)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 002939 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 002939?

Key metric: As 002939 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 002939. This is calculated by dividing 002939's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 002939's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	26x
Earnings	CN¥1.32b
Market Cap	CN¥34.45b

002939 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	n/a
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	n/a
PEG Ratio	2.3x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 002939's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 002939 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	40.9x
600390 Minmetals Capital	23x	16.1%	CN¥34.9b
002797 First Capital Securities	55.4x	7.6%	CN¥34.9b
600369 Southwest Securities	62.3x	21.6%	CN¥31.7b
000783 Changjiang Securities	22.8x	8.4%	CN¥37.9b
002939 China Great Wall SecuritiesLtd	26x	11.5%	CN¥34.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 002939 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26x) compared to the peer average (40.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 002939's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CN Capital Markets Industry?

0 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies available in this PE range

0 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 002939 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26x) compared to the CN Capital Markets industry average (33x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 002939's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

002939 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	26x
Fair PE Ratio	29.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 002939 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (29.2x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.

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