Shenwan Hongyuan Group Co., Ltd.

XSEC:000166 Stock Report

Market Cap: CN¥127.9b

Shenwan Hongyuan Group Valuation

Is 000166 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 000166 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 000166 (CN¥5.43) is trading above our estimate of fair value (CN¥1.05)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 000166 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 000166?

Key metric: As 000166 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 000166. This is calculated by dividing 000166's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 000166's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio33.1x
EarningsCN¥4.11b
Market CapCN¥127.90b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 000166's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 000166 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average18.7x
000776 GF Securities
17.3x15.1%CN¥114.1b
600999 China Merchants Securities
18.9x13.2%CN¥163.5b
002736 Guosen Securities
21.2x13.2%CN¥109.3b
601211 Guotai Junan Securities
17.6x14.4%CN¥156.2b
000166 Shenwan Hongyuan Group
33.1x21.3%CN¥127.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 000166 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (33.1x) compared to the peer average (18.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 000166's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CN Capital Markets Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
000166 33.1xIndustry Avg. 33.4xNo. of Companies10PE020406080100+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 000166 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (33.1x) compared to the CN Capital Markets industry average (33.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 000166's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

000166 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio33.1x
Fair PE Ratio38.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 000166 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (33.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (38.7x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 000166 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCN¥5.43
CN¥5.69
+4.7%
25.4%CN¥7.40CN¥3.69n/a4
Dec ’25CN¥5.36
CN¥4.99
-7.0%
17.8%CN¥6.65CN¥3.69n/a6
Nov ’25CN¥5.29
CN¥4.99
-5.8%
17.8%CN¥6.65CN¥3.69n/a6
Oct ’25CN¥5.72
CN¥4.69
-17.9%
10.9%CN¥5.20CN¥3.69n/a6
Sep ’25CN¥4.52
CN¥4.69
+3.8%
10.9%CN¥5.20CN¥3.69n/a6
Aug ’25CN¥4.63
CN¥4.68
+1.0%
11.0%CN¥5.20CN¥3.69n/a6
Jul ’25CN¥4.32
CN¥4.68
+8.3%
11.0%CN¥5.20CN¥3.69n/a6
Jun ’25CN¥4.55
CN¥4.68
+2.8%
11.0%CN¥5.20CN¥3.69n/a6
May ’25CN¥4.70
CN¥4.68
-0.5%
11.0%CN¥5.20CN¥3.69n/a6
Apr ’25CN¥4.53
CN¥4.38
-3.4%
15.9%CN¥5.20CN¥3.50n/a4
Mar ’25CN¥4.56
CN¥4.38
-4.0%
15.9%CN¥5.20CN¥3.50n/a4
Feb ’25CN¥4.35
CN¥4.95
+13.9%
13.8%CN¥5.80CN¥3.91n/a4
Jan ’25CN¥4.44
CN¥4.95
+11.5%
13.8%CN¥5.80CN¥3.91n/a4
Dec ’24CN¥4.58
CN¥4.95
+8.1%
13.8%CN¥5.80CN¥3.91CN¥5.364
Nov ’24CN¥4.37
CN¥4.79
+9.5%
15.1%CN¥5.80CN¥3.91CN¥5.295
Oct ’24CN¥4.33
CN¥4.79
+10.5%
15.1%CN¥5.80CN¥3.91CN¥5.725
Sep ’24CN¥4.37
CN¥4.79
+9.5%
15.1%CN¥5.80CN¥3.91CN¥4.525
Aug ’24CN¥5.00
CN¥4.69
-6.3%
17.0%CN¥6.00CN¥3.91CN¥4.635
Jul ’24CN¥4.62
CN¥4.69
+1.4%
17.0%CN¥6.00CN¥3.91CN¥4.325
Jun ’24CN¥4.67
CN¥4.69
+0.3%
17.0%CN¥6.00CN¥3.91CN¥4.555
May ’24CN¥4.52
CN¥4.34
-4.1%
7.5%CN¥4.80CN¥3.96CN¥4.705
Apr ’24CN¥4.17
CN¥4.52
+8.3%
7.3%CN¥4.80CN¥3.96CN¥4.534
Mar ’24CN¥4.25
CN¥4.48
+5.5%
8.6%CN¥4.80CN¥3.83CN¥4.564
Feb ’24CN¥4.23
CN¥4.58
+8.2%
5.0%CN¥4.80CN¥4.20CN¥4.354
Jan ’24CN¥3.98
CN¥4.58
+14.9%
5.0%CN¥4.80CN¥4.20CN¥4.444
Dec ’23CN¥4.13
CN¥4.58
+10.8%
5.0%CN¥4.80CN¥4.20CN¥4.584

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/26 23:09
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/26 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Shenwan Hongyuan Group Co., Ltd. is covered by 9 analysts. 3 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Yung ChenCCB International Securities Limited
Dong PuChangjiang Securities Co. LTD.
Zeyu YaoChina International Capital Corporation Limited