Shenwan Hongyuan Group Co., Ltd.

XSEC:000166 Stock Report

Market Cap: CN¥124.7b

Shenwan Hongyuan Group Valuation

Is 000166 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 000166 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 000166 (CN¥5.28) is trading above our estimate of fair value (CN¥2.12)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 000166 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 000166?

Key metric: As 000166 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 000166. This is calculated by dividing 000166's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 000166's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio32.2x
EarningsCN¥4.11b
Market CapCN¥124.65b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 000166's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 000166 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average18.6x
000776 GF Securities
16.9x14.2%CN¥112.2b
002736 Guosen Securities
21.1x11.1%CN¥108.7b
600999 China Merchants Securities
18.6x13.2%CN¥158.4b
601211 Guotai Junan Securities
17.7x12.9%CN¥158.2b
000166 Shenwan Hongyuan Group
32.2x17.7%CN¥124.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 000166 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (32.2x) compared to the peer average (18.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 000166's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CN Capital Markets Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
000166 32.2xIndustry Avg. 32.0xNo. of Companies11PE020406080100+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 000166 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (32.2x) compared to the CN Capital Markets industry average (31.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 000166's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

000166 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio32.2x
Fair PE Ratio36.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 000166 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (32.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (36.6x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 000166 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCN¥5.28
CN¥4.99
-5.6%
17.8%CN¥6.65CN¥3.69n/a6
Nov ’25CN¥5.29
CN¥4.99
-5.8%
17.8%CN¥6.65CN¥3.69n/a6
Oct ’25CN¥5.72
CN¥4.69
-17.9%
10.9%CN¥5.20CN¥3.69n/a6
Sep ’25CN¥4.52
CN¥4.69
+3.8%
10.9%CN¥5.20CN¥3.69n/a6
Aug ’25CN¥4.63
CN¥4.68
+1.0%
11.0%CN¥5.20CN¥3.69n/a6
Jul ’25CN¥4.32
CN¥4.68
+8.3%
11.0%CN¥5.20CN¥3.69n/a6
Jun ’25CN¥4.55
CN¥4.68
+2.8%
11.0%CN¥5.20CN¥3.69n/a6
May ’25CN¥4.70
CN¥4.68
-0.5%
11.0%CN¥5.20CN¥3.69n/a6
Apr ’25CN¥4.53
CN¥4.38
-3.4%
15.9%CN¥5.20CN¥3.50n/a4
Mar ’25CN¥4.56
CN¥4.38
-4.0%
15.9%CN¥5.20CN¥3.50n/a4
Feb ’25CN¥4.35
CN¥4.95
+13.9%
13.8%CN¥5.80CN¥3.91n/a4
Jan ’25CN¥4.44
CN¥4.95
+11.5%
13.8%CN¥5.80CN¥3.91n/a4
Dec ’24CN¥4.58
CN¥4.95
+8.1%
13.8%CN¥5.80CN¥3.91n/a4
Nov ’24CN¥4.37
CN¥4.79
+9.5%
15.1%CN¥5.80CN¥3.91CN¥5.295
Oct ’24CN¥4.33
CN¥4.79
+10.5%
15.1%CN¥5.80CN¥3.91CN¥5.725
Sep ’24CN¥4.37
CN¥4.79
+9.5%
15.1%CN¥5.80CN¥3.91CN¥4.525
Aug ’24CN¥5.00
CN¥4.69
-6.3%
17.0%CN¥6.00CN¥3.91CN¥4.635
Jul ’24CN¥4.62
CN¥4.69
+1.4%
17.0%CN¥6.00CN¥3.91CN¥4.325
Jun ’24CN¥4.67
CN¥4.69
+0.3%
17.0%CN¥6.00CN¥3.91CN¥4.555
May ’24CN¥4.52
CN¥4.34
-4.1%
7.5%CN¥4.80CN¥3.96CN¥4.705
Apr ’24CN¥4.17
CN¥4.52
+8.3%
7.3%CN¥4.80CN¥3.96CN¥4.534
Mar ’24CN¥4.25
CN¥4.48
+5.5%
8.6%CN¥4.80CN¥3.83CN¥4.564
Feb ’24CN¥4.23
CN¥4.58
+8.2%
5.0%CN¥4.80CN¥4.20CN¥4.354
Jan ’24CN¥3.98
CN¥4.58
+14.9%
5.0%CN¥4.80CN¥4.20CN¥4.444
Dec ’23CN¥4.13
CN¥4.58
+10.8%
5.0%CN¥4.80CN¥4.20CN¥4.584
Nov ’23CN¥3.98
CN¥5.08
+27.5%
16.9%CN¥6.50CN¥4.20CN¥4.374

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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