Changjiang Securities Company Limited

SZSE:000783 Stock Report

Market Cap: CN¥39.0b

Changjiang Securities Valuation

Is 000783 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 000783 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 000783 (CN¥7.05) is trading above our estimate of fair value (CN¥2.33)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 000783 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 000783?

Key metric: As 000783 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 000783. This is calculated by dividing 000783's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 000783's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio23x
EarningsCN¥1.69b
Market CapCN¥38.99b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 000783's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 000783 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average44.6x
002797 First Capital Securities
58.9x11.2%CN¥37.9b
600369 Southwest Securities
64.1x21.6%CN¥33.0b
002673 Western SecuritiesLtd
38x9.9%CN¥38.7b
601108 Caitong SecuritiesLtd
17.6x7.4%CN¥39.1b
000783 Changjiang Securities
23x8.4%CN¥39.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 000783 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23x) compared to the peer average (44.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 000783's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CN Capital Markets Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
000783 23.0xIndustry Avg. 33.3xNo. of Companies10PE020406080100+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 000783 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23x) compared to the CN Capital Markets industry average (33.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 000783's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

000783 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio23x
Fair PE Ratio28.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 000783 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.7x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 000783 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCN¥7.05
CN¥6.23
-11.6%
24.4%CN¥8.38CN¥5.12n/a3
Dec ’25CN¥6.98
CN¥6.23
-10.7%
24.4%CN¥8.38CN¥5.12n/a3
Nov ’25CN¥6.97
CN¥6.23
-10.6%
24.4%CN¥8.38CN¥5.12n/a3
Oct ’25CN¥7.22
CN¥5.16
-28.5%
0.8%CN¥5.20CN¥5.12n/a2
Sep ’25CN¥4.95
CN¥5.16
+4.2%
0.8%CN¥5.20CN¥5.12n/a2
Aug ’25CN¥5.18
CN¥5.89
+13.7%
8.9%CN¥6.46CN¥5.20n/a3
Jul ’25CN¥4.88
CN¥6.24
+27.8%
3.6%CN¥6.46CN¥6.01n/a2
Jun ’25CN¥5.52
CN¥6.24
+13.0%
3.6%CN¥6.46CN¥6.01n/a2
May ’25CN¥5.67
CN¥6.24
+10.0%
3.6%CN¥6.46CN¥6.01n/a2
Apr ’25CN¥5.64
CN¥6.31
+11.8%
2.5%CN¥6.46CN¥6.15n/a2
Mar ’25CN¥5.48
CN¥6.31
+15.1%
2.5%CN¥6.46CN¥6.15n/a2
Feb ’25CN¥4.86
CN¥6.47
+33.1%
4.1%CN¥6.80CN¥6.15n/a3
Jan ’25CN¥5.38
CN¥6.47
+20.3%
4.1%CN¥6.80CN¥6.15n/a3
Dec ’24CN¥5.63
CN¥6.47
+14.9%
4.1%CN¥6.80CN¥6.15CN¥6.983
Nov ’24CN¥5.65
CN¥6.47
+14.5%
4.1%CN¥6.80CN¥6.15CN¥6.973
Oct ’24CN¥5.83
CN¥6.47
+11.0%
4.1%CN¥6.80CN¥6.15CN¥7.223
Sep ’24CN¥5.97
CN¥6.47
+8.4%
4.1%CN¥6.80CN¥6.15CN¥4.953
Aug ’24CN¥6.62
CN¥6.47
-2.3%
4.1%CN¥6.80CN¥6.15CN¥5.183
Jul ’24CN¥5.80
CN¥6.31
+8.7%
2.5%CN¥6.46CN¥6.15CN¥4.882
Jun ’24CN¥6.00
CN¥6.31
+5.1%
2.5%CN¥6.46CN¥6.15CN¥5.522
May ’24CN¥5.67
CN¥6.31
+11.2%
2.5%CN¥6.46CN¥6.15CN¥5.672
Apr ’24CN¥5.57
CN¥6.31
+13.2%
2.5%CN¥6.46CN¥6.15CN¥5.642
Mar ’24CN¥5.67
CN¥6.43
+13.4%
0.5%CN¥6.46CN¥6.40CN¥5.482
Feb ’24CN¥5.87
CN¥6.43
+9.5%
0.5%CN¥6.46CN¥6.40CN¥4.862
Jan ’24CN¥5.33
CN¥6.43
+20.6%
0.5%CN¥6.46CN¥6.40CN¥5.382
Dec ’23CN¥5.61
CN¥6.43
+14.6%
0.5%CN¥6.46CN¥6.40CN¥5.632

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/22 07:01
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Changjiang Securities Company Limited is covered by 14 analysts. 3 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Pei Jie XieCentral China Securities Co., Ltd.
Zeyu YaoChina International Capital Corporation Limited
Jisha ZhengChina Merchants Securities Co. Ltd.