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Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Offcn Education Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002607) 34% Share Price Surge
Despite an already strong run, Offcn Education Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002607) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 34% in the last thirty days. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 14% in the last twelve months.
After such a large jump in price, Offcn Education Technology may be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 8.6x, since almost half of all companies in the Consumer Services industry in China have P/S ratios under 5x and even P/S lower than 2x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
View our latest analysis for Offcn Education Technology
How Has Offcn Education Technology Performed Recently?
With revenue that's retreating more than the industry's average of late, Offcn Education Technology has been very sluggish. It might be that many expect the dismal revenue performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be very nervous about the viability of the share price.
Keen to find out how analysts think Offcn Education Technology's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Offcn Education Technology's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 30%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 75% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the three analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 51% over the next year. With the industry only predicted to deliver 40%, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.
With this in mind, it's not hard to understand why Offcn Education Technology's P/S is high relative to its industry peers. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
What Does Offcn Education Technology's P/S Mean For Investors?
Shares in Offcn Education Technology have seen a strong upwards swing lately, which has really helped boost its P/S figure. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
As we suspected, our examination of Offcn Education Technology's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook is contributing to its high P/S. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/S as they are quite confident future revenues aren't under threat. Unless the analysts have really missed the mark, these strong revenue forecasts should keep the share price buoyant.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Offcn Education Technology (of which 1 shouldn't be ignored!) you should know about.
If you're unsure about the strength of Offcn Education Technology's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:002607
Offcn Education Technology
Operates as a multi-category vocational education institution in China.