Stock Analysis

Don't Race Out To Buy Xiamen Comfort Science&Technology Group Co., Ltd (SZSE:002614) Just Because It's Going Ex-Dividend

SZSE:002614
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Regular readers will know that we love our dividends at Simply Wall St, which is why it's exciting to see Xiamen Comfort Science&Technology Group Co., Ltd (SZSE:002614) is about to trade ex-dividend in the next two days. The ex-dividend date is one business day before a company's record date, which is the date on which the company determines which shareholders are entitled to receive a dividend. The ex-dividend date is important because any transaction on a stock needs to have been settled before the record date in order to be eligible for a dividend. Thus, you can purchase Xiamen Comfort Science&Technology Group's shares before the 29th of May in order to receive the dividend, which the company will pay on the 29th of May.

The company's next dividend payment will be CN¥0.30 per share, and in the last 12 months, the company paid a total of CN¥0.30 per share. Based on the last year's worth of payments, Xiamen Comfort Science&Technology Group stock has a trailing yield of around 4.4% on the current share price of CN¥6.76. We love seeing companies pay a dividend, but it's also important to be sure that laying the golden eggs isn't going to kill our golden goose! So we need to investigate whether Xiamen Comfort Science&Technology Group can afford its dividend, and if the dividend could grow.

View our latest analysis for Xiamen Comfort Science&Technology Group

Dividends are typically paid from company earnings. If a company pays more in dividends than it earned in profit, then the dividend could be unsustainable. Xiamen Comfort Science&Technology Group distributed an unsustainably high 193% of its profit as dividends to shareholders last year. Without more sustainable payment behaviour, the dividend looks precarious. A useful secondary check can be to evaluate whether Xiamen Comfort Science&Technology Group generated enough free cash flow to afford its dividend. Dividends consumed 57% of the company's free cash flow last year, which is within a normal range for most dividend-paying organisations.

It's good to see that while Xiamen Comfort Science&Technology Group's dividends were not covered by profits, at least they are affordable from a cash perspective. Still, if the company repeatedly paid a dividend greater than its profits, we'd be concerned. Very few companies are able to sustainably pay dividends larger than their reported earnings.

Click here to see the company's payout ratio, plus analyst estimates of its future dividends.

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SZSE:002614 Historic Dividend May 26th 2024

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

Companies with falling earnings are riskier for dividend shareholders. Investors love dividends, so if earnings fall and the dividend is reduced, expect a stock to be sold off heavily at the same time. Xiamen Comfort Science&Technology Group's earnings per share have fallen at approximately 29% a year over the previous five years. When earnings per share fall, the maximum amount of dividends that can be paid also falls.

Another key way to measure a company's dividend prospects is by measuring its historical rate of dividend growth. Since the start of our data, 10 years ago, Xiamen Comfort Science&Technology Group has lifted its dividend by approximately 21% a year on average. The only way to pay higher dividends when earnings are shrinking is either to pay out a larger percentage of profits, spend cash from the balance sheet, or borrow the money. Xiamen Comfort Science&Technology Group is already paying out a high percentage of its income, so without earnings growth, we're doubtful of whether this dividend will grow much in the future.

The Bottom Line

Is Xiamen Comfort Science&Technology Group an attractive dividend stock, or better left on the shelf? Earnings per share have been shrinking in recent times. What's more, Xiamen Comfort Science&Technology Group is paying out a majority of its earnings and over half its free cash flow. It's hard to say if the business has the financial resources and time to turn things around without cutting the dividend. It's not that we think Xiamen Comfort Science&Technology Group is a bad company, but these characteristics don't generally lead to outstanding dividend performance.

With that being said, if you're still considering Xiamen Comfort Science&Technology Group as an investment, you'll find it beneficial to know what risks this stock is facing. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Xiamen Comfort Science&Technology Group you should know about.

Generally, we wouldn't recommend just buying the first dividend stock you see. Here's a curated list of interesting stocks that are strong dividend payers.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Xiamen Comfort Science&Technology Group is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.