Baoxiniao Holding Co., Ltd.

SZSE:002154 Stock Report

Market Cap: CN¥6.3b

Baoxiniao Holding Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

Baoxiniao Holding is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 27% and 8.9% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 26.9% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 11.2% in 3 years.

Key information

27.0%

Earnings growth rate

26.95%

EPS growth rate

Luxury earnings growth22.5%
Revenue growth rate8.9%
Future return on equity11.22%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated30 Aug 2025

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Baoxiniao Holding Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002154) Stock Catapults 25% Though Its Price And Business Still Lag The Market

Dec 13
Baoxiniao Holding Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002154) Stock Catapults 25% Though Its Price And Business Still Lag The Market

The Return Trends At Baoxiniao Holding (SZSE:002154) Look Promising

Sep 26
The Return Trends At Baoxiniao Holding (SZSE:002154) Look Promising

Baoxiniao Holding Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002154) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 96% Above Its Share Price

Jul 12
Baoxiniao Holding Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002154) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 96% Above Its Share Price

Little Excitement Around Baoxiniao Holding Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002154) Earnings

Jun 24
Little Excitement Around Baoxiniao Holding Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002154) Earnings

Investors Will Want Baoxiniao Holding's (SZSE:002154) Growth In ROCE To Persist

Jun 07
Investors Will Want Baoxiniao Holding's (SZSE:002154) Growth In ROCE To Persist

Baoxiniao Holding (SZSE:002154) Is Paying Out A Larger Dividend Than Last Year

May 12
Baoxiniao Holding (SZSE:002154) Is Paying Out A Larger Dividend Than Last Year

Baoxiniao Holding's (SZSE:002154) Solid Profits Have Weak Fundamentals

May 03
Baoxiniao Holding's (SZSE:002154) Solid Profits Have Weak Fundamentals

Do Baoxiniao Holding's (SZSE:002154) Earnings Warrant Your Attention?

Mar 28
Do Baoxiniao Holding's (SZSE:002154) Earnings Warrant Your Attention?

We Think Baoxiniao Holding (SZSE:002154) Can Manage Its Debt With Ease

Feb 27
We Think Baoxiniao Holding (SZSE:002154) Can Manage Its Debt With Ease

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

SZSE:002154 - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (CNY Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/20276,1435913346685
12/31/20265,5955172627316
12/31/20255,0123855438103
9/30/20255,09731632657N/A
6/30/20255,06534868658N/A
3/31/20255,104415152764N/A
12/31/20245,15349591702N/A
9/30/20245,122558570863N/A
6/30/20245,262634624953N/A
3/31/20245,3166926611,022N/A
12/31/20235,2546987711,154N/A
9/30/20234,942629579945N/A
6/30/20234,788602523873N/A
3/31/20234,446509500758N/A
1/1/20234,313459317515N/A
9/30/20224,517482302484N/A
6/30/20224,472467334492N/A
3/31/20224,614489338507N/A
1/1/20224,451464474619N/A
9/30/20214,500493707815N/A
6/30/20214,390512769845N/A
3/31/20214,135482696761N/A
12/31/20203,788366643719N/A
9/30/20203,364287404497N/A
6/30/20203,216215297395N/A
3/31/20203,150184257366N/A
12/31/20193,273210281396N/A
9/30/20193,180145182274N/A
6/30/20193,127124N/A397N/A
3/31/20193,144108N/A359N/A
12/31/20183,11052N/A348N/A
9/30/20183,015129N/A397N/A
6/30/20182,86696N/A431N/A
3/31/20182,78447N/A480N/A
12/31/20172,60126N/A451N/A
9/30/20172,348-318N/A369N/A
6/30/20172,231-320N/A276N/A
3/31/20172,087-382N/A287N/A
12/31/20162,008-387N/A278N/A
9/30/20162,019-166N/A217N/A
6/30/20162,162-73N/A261N/A
3/31/20162,13441N/A239N/A
12/31/20152,242100N/A308N/A
9/30/20152,246173N/A444N/A
6/30/20152,280142N/A411N/A
3/31/20152,232149N/A407N/A
12/31/20142,275134N/A383N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: 002154's forecast earnings growth (27% per year) is above the savings rate (2.6%).

Earnings vs Market: 002154's earnings (27% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the CN market (82.6% per year).

High Growth Earnings: 002154's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: 002154's revenue (8.9% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the CN market (9.1% per year).

High Growth Revenue: 002154's revenue (8.9% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: 002154's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (11.2%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/11/12 05:14
End of Day Share Price 2025/11/12 00:00
Earnings2025/09/30
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Baoxiniao Holding Co., Ltd. is covered by 11 analysts. 6 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Shuai HaoChina Galaxy Securities Co., Ltd.
Jichuan LinChina International Capital Corporation Limited
Yunfeng LiuChina Stock Investment Research Co. Ltd. (GZ500..com)