Shijiazhuang ChangShan BeiMing Technology Co.,Ltd's (SZSE:000158) 31% Dip Still Leaving Some Shareholders Feeling Restless Over Its P/SRatio
The Shijiazhuang ChangShan BeiMing Technology Co.,Ltd (SZSE:000158) share price has softened a substantial 31% over the previous 30 days, handing back much of the gains the stock has made lately. Of course, over the longer-term many would still wish they owned shares as the stock's price has soared 186% in the last twelve months.
Even after such a large drop in price, given around half the companies in China's Luxury industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.8x, you may still consider Shijiazhuang ChangShan BeiMing TechnologyLtd as a stock to avoid entirely with its 4.4x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Check out our latest analysis for Shijiazhuang ChangShan BeiMing TechnologyLtd
What Does Shijiazhuang ChangShan BeiMing TechnologyLtd's Recent Performance Look Like?
The revenue growth achieved at Shijiazhuang ChangShan BeiMing TechnologyLtd over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to beat most other companies over the coming period, which has increased investors’ willingness to pay up for the stock. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Shijiazhuang ChangShan BeiMing TechnologyLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Shijiazhuang ChangShan BeiMing TechnologyLtd's to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 9.4%. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen an unpleasant 15% overall drop in revenue. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 15% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
With this in mind, we find it worrying that Shijiazhuang ChangShan BeiMing TechnologyLtd's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
The Final Word
A significant share price dive has done very little to deflate Shijiazhuang ChangShan BeiMing TechnologyLtd's very lofty P/S. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
Our examination of Shijiazhuang ChangShan BeiMing TechnologyLtd revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.
Having said that, be aware Shijiazhuang ChangShan BeiMing TechnologyLtd is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis, you should know about.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:000158
Shijiazhuang ChangShan BeiMing TechnologyLtd
Manufactures and sells textile products in China.
Low with imperfect balance sheet.
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