Guangzhou Holike Creative HomeLtd Valuation
Is 603898 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
3/6Valuation Score 3/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of 603898 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: 603898 (CN¥9.12) is trading above our estimate of fair value (CN¥4.95)
Significantly Below Fair Value: 603898 is trading above our estimate of fair value.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 603898?
Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.
| What is 603898's n/a Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| n/a | 0x |
| n/a | n/a |
| Market Cap | CN¥2.95b |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 0.9x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 5.7x |
| PEG Ratio | 1.1x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does 603898's PE Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 96.4x | ||
603326 Nanjing OLO Home FurnishingLtd | 14.5x | n/a | CN¥2.6b |
603038 Dongguan Huali IndustriesLtd | 176.5x | n/a | CN¥2.4b |
300616 Guangzhou Shangpin Home Collection | 45.7x | 42.2% | CN¥3.6b |
001238 Zhejiang Zhengte | 149.1x | 46.4% | CN¥2.5b |
603898 Guangzhou Holike Creative HomeLtd | 13x | 12.0% | CN¥3.0b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 603898 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13x) compared to the peer average (96.4x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does 603898's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CN Consumer Durables Industry?
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 603898 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13x) compared to the CN Consumer Durables industry average (23.2x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is 603898's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PE Ratio | 13x |
| Fair PE Ratio | 14.3x |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 603898 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.3x).
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | CN¥9.12 | CN¥9.94 +9.0% | 22.1% | CN¥12.00 | CN¥6.90 | n/a | 3 |
| May ’25 | CN¥9.07 | CN¥10.01 +10.3% | 21.0% | CN¥12.00 | CN¥7.10 | n/a | 3 |
| Apr ’25 | CN¥9.82 | CN¥10.47 +6.6% | 22.8% | CN¥12.30 | CN¥7.10 | n/a | 3 |
| Mar ’25 | CN¥8.68 | CN¥10.47 +20.6% | 22.8% | CN¥12.30 | CN¥7.10 | n/a | 3 |
| Feb ’25 | CN¥8.84 | CN¥10.47 +18.4% | 22.8% | CN¥12.30 | CN¥7.10 | n/a | 3 |
| Jan ’25 | CN¥10.97 | CN¥10.47 -4.6% | 22.8% | CN¥12.30 | CN¥7.10 | n/a | 3 |
| Dec ’24 | CN¥11.07 | CN¥11.57 +4.5% | 7.2% | CN¥12.30 | CN¥10.40 | n/a | 3 |
| Nov ’24 | CN¥11.05 | CN¥11.57 +4.7% | 7.2% | CN¥12.30 | CN¥10.40 | n/a | 3 |
| Oct ’24 | CN¥10.50 | CN¥11.81 +12.5% | 9.1% | CN¥13.00 | CN¥10.40 | n/a | 3 |
| Sep ’24 | CN¥11.26 | CN¥11.81 +4.9% | 9.1% | CN¥13.00 | CN¥10.40 | n/a | 3 |
| Aug ’24 | CN¥10.61 | CN¥12.33 +16.2% | 11.2% | CN¥13.58 | CN¥10.40 | n/a | 3 |
| Jul ’24 | CN¥9.72 | CN¥12.33 +26.8% | 11.2% | CN¥13.58 | CN¥10.40 | n/a | 3 |
| Jun ’24 | CN¥10.16 | CN¥12.53 +23.3% | 8.8% | CN¥13.58 | CN¥11.00 | n/a | 3 |
| May ’24 | CN¥10.20 | CN¥12.53 +22.8% | 8.8% | CN¥13.58 | CN¥11.00 | CN¥9.07 | 3 |
| Apr ’24 | CN¥12.06 | CN¥12.53 +3.9% | 9.8% | CN¥14.00 | CN¥11.00 | CN¥9.82 | 3 |
| Mar ’24 | CN¥13.20 | CN¥12.53 -5.1% | 9.8% | CN¥14.00 | CN¥11.00 | CN¥8.68 | 3 |
| Feb ’24 | CN¥12.40 | CN¥12.53 +1.1% | 9.8% | CN¥14.00 | CN¥11.00 | CN¥8.84 | 3 |
| Jan ’24 | CN¥11.32 | CN¥11.87 +4.8% | 5.6% | CN¥12.60 | CN¥11.00 | CN¥10.97 | 3 |
| Dec ’23 | CN¥12.08 | CN¥11.87 -1.8% | 5.6% | CN¥12.60 | CN¥11.00 | CN¥11.07 | 3 |
| Nov ’23 | CN¥11.34 | CN¥12.73 +12.3% | 5.2% | CN¥13.60 | CN¥12.00 | CN¥11.05 | 3 |
| Oct ’23 | CN¥9.84 | CN¥12.69 +29.0% | 5.3% | CN¥13.60 | CN¥12.00 | CN¥10.50 | 3 |
| Sep ’23 | CN¥11.16 | CN¥12.69 +13.7% | 5.3% | CN¥13.60 | CN¥12.00 | CN¥11.26 | 3 |
| Aug ’23 | CN¥11.05 | CN¥12.15 +10.0% | 14.4% | CN¥14.30 | CN¥10.00 | CN¥10.61 | 3 |
| Jul ’23 | CN¥10.20 | CN¥11.78 +15.5% | 11.3% | CN¥13.20 | CN¥10.00 | CN¥9.72 | 3 |
| Jun ’23 | CN¥9.72 | CN¥11.78 +21.2% | 11.3% | CN¥13.20 | CN¥10.00 | CN¥10.16 | 3 |
| May ’23 | CN¥8.86 | CN¥11.78 +33.0% | 11.3% | CN¥13.20 | CN¥10.00 | CN¥10.20 | 3 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.