Ningbo Peacebird FashionLtd Valuation

Is 603877 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 603877 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 603877 (CN¥14.28) is trading above our estimate of fair value (CN¥10.01)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 603877 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 603877?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

The above table shows the n/a ratio for 603877. This is calculated by dividing 603877's market cap by their current preferred multiple.
What is 603877's n/a Ratio?
n/a	0x
n/a	n/a
Market Cap	CN¥6.77b

603877 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	0.8x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	16.8x
PEG Ratio	0.8x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 603877's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 603877 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	106.8x
603587 Dazzle Fashion	14.2x	14.7%	CN¥5.8b
600400 Jiangsu Hongdou IndustrialLTD	209.1x	31.1%	CN¥5.7b
301177 DR	194x	44.3%	CN¥9.4b
002154 Baoxiniao Holding	10.1x	15.7%	CN¥6.4b
603877 Ningbo Peacebird FashionLtd	19.8x	24.4%	CN¥6.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 603877 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.8x) compared to the peer average (106.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 603877's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CN Luxury Industry?

0 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Industry Avg.	n/a	18.8%
	n/a	n/a	n/a

Fetching data

0 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Industry Avg.	n/a	18.8%
	n/a	n/a	n/a

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 603877 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.8x) compared to the CN Luxury industry average (22.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 603877's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

603877 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	19.8x
Fair PE Ratio	22.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 603877 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.4x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 603877 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
Date	Share Price	Average 1Y Price Target	Dispersion	High	Low	1Y Actual price	Analysts
Current	CN¥14.28	CN¥16.05 +12.4%	20.3%	CN¥20.80	CN¥12.90	n/a	5
Sep ’25	CN¥12.40	CN¥16.05 +29.4%	20.3%	CN¥20.80	CN¥12.90	n/a	5
Aug ’25	CN¥13.62	CN¥19.08 +40.1%	7.3%	CN¥20.80	CN¥16.60	n/a	5
Jul ’25	CN¥13.79	CN¥19.08 +38.4%	7.3%	CN¥20.80	CN¥16.60	n/a	5
Jun ’25	CN¥15.85	CN¥19.08 +20.4%	7.3%	CN¥20.80	CN¥16.60	n/a	5
May ’25	CN¥15.17	CN¥19.44 +28.1%	4.2%	CN¥20.80	CN¥18.40	n/a	5
Apr ’25	CN¥16.65	CN¥19.38 +16.4%	4.7%	CN¥20.80	CN¥18.10	n/a	5
Mar ’25	CN¥15.48	CN¥19.06 +23.2%	6.4%	CN¥21.30	CN¥17.87	n/a	5
Feb ’25	CN¥14.98	CN¥19.06 +27.3%	6.4%	CN¥21.30	CN¥17.87	n/a	5
Jan ’25	CN¥17.08	CN¥20.35 +19.1%	10.1%	CN¥23.39	CN¥18.10	n/a	5
Dec ’24	CN¥15.88	CN¥20.35 +28.1%	10.1%	CN¥23.39	CN¥18.10	n/a	5
Nov ’24	CN¥15.59	CN¥20.35 +30.5%	10.1%	CN¥23.39	CN¥18.10	n/a	5
Oct ’24	CN¥18.69	CN¥23.00 +23.0%	10.9%	CN¥26.20	CN¥19.40	CN¥14.28	5
Sep ’24	CN¥18.28	CN¥23.64 +29.3%	7.7%	CN¥26.20	CN¥21.00	CN¥12.40	5
Aug ’24	CN¥21.34	CN¥26.67 +25.0%	9.8%	CN¥30.13	CN¥22.60	CN¥13.62	5
Jul ’24	CN¥25.28	CN¥27.07 +7.1%	10.6%	CN¥30.13	CN¥22.60	CN¥13.79	5
Jun ’24	CN¥24.05	CN¥27.07 +12.5%	10.6%	CN¥30.13	CN¥22.60	CN¥15.85	5
May ’24	CN¥22.52	CN¥24.84 +10.3%	13.6%	CN¥29.60	CN¥19.00	CN¥15.17	5
Apr ’24	CN¥21.09	CN¥20.26 -3.9%	14.5%	CN¥24.24	CN¥16.30	CN¥16.65	4
Mar ’24	CN¥22.16	CN¥19.08 -13.9%	9.7%	CN¥21.50	CN¥16.30	CN¥15.48	4
Feb ’24	CN¥18.62	CN¥19.08 +2.5%	9.7%	CN¥21.50	CN¥16.30	CN¥14.98	4
Jan ’24	CN¥18.39	CN¥18.11 -1.5%	7.0%	CN¥19.53	CN¥16.30	CN¥17.08	4
Dec ’23	CN¥18.03	CN¥17.36 -3.7%	8.0%	CN¥19.53	CN¥16.00	CN¥15.88	4
Nov ’23	CN¥16.40	CN¥17.36 +5.8%	8.0%	CN¥19.53	CN¥16.00	CN¥15.59	4
Oct ’23	CN¥16.74	CN¥20.39 +21.8%	11.9%	CN¥23.27	CN¥16.00	CN¥18.69	5

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.