Stock Analysis

AUCMA Co.,Ltd.'s (SHSE:600336) Share Price Boosted 28% But Its Business Prospects Need A Lift Too

SHSE:600336
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Despite an already strong run, AUCMA Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600336) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 28% in the last thirty days. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 46%.

Although its price has surged higher, considering around half the companies operating in China's Consumer Durables industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 2.1x, you may still consider AUCMALtd as an solid investment opportunity with its 0.8x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for AUCMALtd

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:600336 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry November 8th 2024

How AUCMALtd Has Been Performing

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at AUCMALtd over the last year, which is not ideal at all. Perhaps the market believes the recent revenue performance isn't good enough to keep up the industry, causing the P/S ratio to suffer. Those who are bullish on AUCMALtd will be hoping that this isn't the case so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on AUCMALtd will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, AUCMALtd would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 11% decrease to the company's top line. This has erased any of its gains during the last three years, with practically no change in revenue being achieved in total. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing revenue over that time.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 11% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

With this in mind, we understand why AUCMALtd's P/S is lower than most of its industry peers. However, we think shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.

The Final Word

Despite AUCMALtd's share price climbing recently, its P/S still lags most other companies. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

It's no surprise that AUCMALtd maintains its low P/S off the back of its sliding revenue over the medium-term. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises either. Given the current circumstances, it seems unlikely that the share price will experience any significant movement in either direction in the near future if recent medium-term revenue trends persist.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for AUCMALtd (of which 1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) you should know about.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on AUCMALtd, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.