Centre Testing International Group Co. Ltd.

XSEC:300012 Stock Report

Market Cap: CN¥22.1b

Centre Testing International Group Valuation

Is 300012 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 300012 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 300012 (CN¥13.27) is trading above our estimate of fair value (CN¥11.74)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 300012 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 300012?

Key metric: As 300012 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 300012. This is calculated by dividing 300012's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 300012's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio24.1x
EarningsCN¥916.05m
Market CapCN¥22.08b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 300012's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 300012 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average69.9x
301091 Shenzhen Urban Transport Planning Center
120.1x20.0%CN¥20.7b
002967 GRG Metrology & Test Group
37.8x23.9%CN¥10.0b
301508 China Machinery Huanyu Certification and Inspection
66.4xn/aCN¥8.3b
301215 CATARC Automotive Proving GroundLtd
55.2x34.8%CN¥8.6b
300012 Centre Testing International Group
24.4x14.6%CN¥22.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 300012 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.4x) compared to the peer average (71.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 300012's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CN Professional Services Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
300012 24.1xIndustry Avg. 45.8xNo. of Companies5PE020406080100+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 300012 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.4x) compared to the CN Professional Services industry average (45x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 300012's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

300012 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio24.1x
Fair PE Ratio23.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 300012 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 300012 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCN¥13.13
CN¥16.02
+22.0%
16.3%CN¥19.50CN¥10.00n/a13
Nov ’25CN¥13.49
CN¥16.13
+19.6%
15.6%CN¥19.50CN¥10.00n/a13
Oct ’25CN¥15.04
CN¥15.28
+1.6%
14.6%CN¥19.00CN¥12.00n/a11
Sep ’25CN¥10.48
CN¥15.34
+46.4%
14.4%CN¥19.00CN¥12.00n/a11
Aug ’25CN¥11.68
CN¥15.77
+35.0%
20.4%CN¥23.50CN¥11.50n/a11
Jul ’25CN¥9.89
CN¥15.89
+60.7%
20.2%CN¥23.50CN¥11.50n/a11
Jun ’25CN¥11.41
CN¥15.89
+39.3%
20.2%CN¥23.50CN¥11.50n/a11
May ’25CN¥12.58
CN¥15.67
+24.6%
21.5%CN¥23.50CN¥11.00n/a11
Apr ’25CN¥13.17
CN¥17.04
+29.4%
20.3%CN¥23.50CN¥11.00n/a11
Mar ’25CN¥13.14
CN¥17.04
+29.7%
20.3%CN¥23.50CN¥11.00n/a11
Feb ’25CN¥11.37
CN¥17.77
+56.3%
22.4%CN¥24.10CN¥11.00n/a11
Jan ’25CN¥14.20
CN¥22.78
+60.4%
7.6%CN¥26.60CN¥20.40n/a11
Dec ’24CN¥15.91
CN¥22.78
+43.2%
7.6%CN¥26.60CN¥20.40n/a11
Nov ’24CN¥15.07
CN¥23.28
+54.5%
8.6%CN¥26.60CN¥20.40CN¥13.4911
Oct ’24CN¥18.68
CN¥25.78
+38.0%
7.5%CN¥29.50CN¥22.64CN¥15.0411
Sep ’24CN¥19.06
CN¥25.55
+34.1%
6.8%CN¥29.50CN¥22.64CN¥10.4811
Aug ’24CN¥20.42
CN¥26.59
+30.2%
11.4%CN¥33.90CN¥22.64CN¥11.6812
Jul ’24CN¥19.50
CN¥27.12
+39.1%
10.4%CN¥33.90CN¥23.68CN¥9.8912
Jun ’24CN¥18.67
CN¥27.12
+45.3%
10.4%CN¥33.90CN¥23.68CN¥11.4112
May ’24CN¥19.26
CN¥27.66
+43.6%
10.9%CN¥36.00CN¥23.68CN¥12.5813
Apr ’24CN¥20.50
CN¥29.13
+42.1%
9.9%CN¥36.00CN¥26.00CN¥13.1712
Mar ’24CN¥22.41
CN¥29.17
+30.1%
10.3%CN¥36.60CN¥26.00CN¥13.1412
Feb ’24CN¥23.46
CN¥28.69
+22.3%
9.2%CN¥36.60CN¥26.00CN¥11.3712
Jan ’24CN¥22.30
CN¥28.12
+26.1%
10.6%CN¥36.60CN¥24.15CN¥14.2011
Dec ’23CN¥21.08
CN¥28.20
+33.8%
10.2%CN¥36.60CN¥24.15CN¥15.9112
Nov ’23CN¥19.84
CN¥28.20
+42.1%
10.2%CN¥36.60CN¥24.15CN¥15.0712

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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