Stock Analysis

Guangdong Feinan Resources Recycling (SZSE:301500) Use Of Debt Could Be Considered Risky

SZSE:301500
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Guangdong Feinan Resources Recycling Co., Ltd (SZSE:301500) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

View our latest analysis for Guangdong Feinan Resources Recycling

What Is Guangdong Feinan Resources Recycling's Net Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of March 2024, Guangdong Feinan Resources Recycling had CN¥4.68b of debt, up from CN¥2.84b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. On the flip side, it has CN¥450.7m in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥4.23b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:301500 Debt to Equity History June 7th 2024

How Healthy Is Guangdong Feinan Resources Recycling's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Guangdong Feinan Resources Recycling had liabilities of CN¥4.42b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥2.25b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥450.7m in cash and CN¥243.6m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥5.98b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of CN¥7.22b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Guangdong Feinan Resources Recycling's use of debt. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Guangdong Feinan Resources Recycling shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (13.3), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 0.97 times the interest expense. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. Even worse, Guangdong Feinan Resources Recycling saw its EBIT tank 68% over the last 12 months. If earnings continue to follow that trajectory, paying off that debt load will be harder than convincing us to run a marathon in the rain. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Guangdong Feinan Resources Recycling will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last three years, Guangdong Feinan Resources Recycling burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

To be frank both Guangdong Feinan Resources Recycling's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and its track record of (not) growing its EBIT make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. And even its net debt to EBITDA fails to inspire much confidence. After considering the datapoints discussed, we think Guangdong Feinan Resources Recycling has too much debt. While some investors love that sort of risky play, it's certainly not our cup of tea. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 5 warning signs for Guangdong Feinan Resources Recycling you should be aware of, and 4 of them are a bit unpleasant.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Guangdong Feinan Resources Recycling is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.