Stock Analysis

We Like The Quality Of Guangbo Group Stock's (SZSE:002103) Earnings

SZSE:002103
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The market seemed underwhelmed by last week's earnings announcement from Guangbo Group Stock Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002103) despite the healthy numbers. We did some analysis to find out why and believe that investors might be missing some encouraging factors contained in the earnings.

View our latest analysis for Guangbo Group Stock

earnings-and-revenue-history
SZSE:002103 Earnings and Revenue History November 6th 2024

Zooming In On Guangbo Group Stock's Earnings

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

For the year to September 2024, Guangbo Group Stock had an accrual ratio of -0.21. That indicates that its free cash flow quite significantly exceeded its statutory profit. To wit, it produced free cash flow of CN¥330m during the period, dwarfing its reported profit of CN¥155.7m. Guangbo Group Stock shareholders are no doubt pleased that free cash flow improved over the last twelve months. However, that's not all there is to consider. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Guangbo Group Stock.

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

While the accrual ratio might bode well, we also note that Guangbo Group Stock's profit was boosted by unusual items worth CN¥12m in the last twelve months. We can't deny that higher profits generally leave us optimistic, but we'd prefer it if the profit were to be sustainable. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. If Guangbo Group Stock doesn't see that contribution repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to drop over the current year.

Our Take On Guangbo Group Stock's Profit Performance

In conclusion, Guangbo Group Stock's accrual ratio suggests its statutory earnings are of good quality, but on the other hand the profits were boosted by unusual items. Considering all the aforementioned, we'd venture that Guangbo Group Stock's profit result is a pretty good guide to its true profitability, albeit a bit on the conservative side. While earnings are important, another area to consider is the balance sheet. If you're interested we have a graphic representation of Guangbo Group Stock's balance sheet.

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, as a guide to a business. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.