CRRC Corporation Limited

XSSC:601766 Stock Report

Market Cap: CN¥187.3b

CRRC Valuation

Is 601766 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 601766 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 601766 (CN¥6.91) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CN¥27.41)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 601766 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 601766?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

601766 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.7x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA8x
PEG Ratio1.4x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 601766's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 601766 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average31.5x
600150 China CSSC Holdings
51.5x39.2%CN¥170.6b
600031 Sany Heavy IndustryLtd
28.9x23.2%CN¥132.5b
000425 XCMG Construction Machinery
15.8x25.6%CN¥85.2b
600066 Yutong BusLtd
29.9x25.5%CN¥54.2b
16.4x11.4%CN¥187.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 601766 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.4x) compared to the peer average (31.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 601766's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CN Machinery Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a26.9%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a26.9%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 601766 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.4x) compared to the CN Machinery industry average (28.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 601766's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

601766 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio16.4x
Fair PE Ratio23.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 601766 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 601766 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCN¥6.91
CN¥7.86
+13.7%
20.6%CN¥9.60CN¥5.00n/a7
Jun ’25CN¥6.97
CN¥7.81
+12.0%
20.4%CN¥9.60CN¥5.00n/a7
May ’25CN¥6.99
CN¥7.50
+7.4%
21.0%CN¥9.20CN¥4.60n/a7
Apr ’25CN¥6.87
CN¥7.44
+8.3%
21.6%CN¥9.50CN¥4.50n/a7
Mar ’25CN¥6.55
CN¥7.20
+10.0%
22.3%CN¥9.50CN¥4.50n/a7
Feb ’25CN¥5.63
CN¥7.10
+26.2%
23.7%CN¥9.50CN¥4.50n/a7
Jan ’25CN¥5.26
CN¥7.35
+39.7%
20.4%CN¥9.50CN¥4.80n/a7
Dec ’24CN¥5.26
CN¥7.33
+39.3%
19.1%CN¥9.50CN¥4.80n/a8
Nov ’24CN¥5.31
CN¥7.30
+37.5%
19.8%CN¥9.50CN¥4.60n/a8
Oct ’24CN¥5.84
CN¥7.53
+28.9%
19.4%CN¥9.20CN¥4.60n/a7
Sep ’24CN¥5.97
CN¥7.53
+26.1%
19.4%CN¥9.20CN¥4.60n/a7
Aug ’24CN¥6.70
CN¥6.50
-3.0%
23.3%CN¥9.20CN¥4.60n/a6
Jul ’24CN¥6.50
CN¥6.47
-0.5%
23.3%CN¥9.20CN¥4.60n/a6
Jun ’24CN¥6.88
CN¥7.15
+3.9%
21.8%CN¥9.20CN¥4.60CN¥6.977
May ’24CN¥6.99
CN¥6.70
-4.2%
24.7%CN¥9.20CN¥4.60CN¥6.998
Apr ’24CN¥6.12
CN¥5.83
-4.7%
15.1%CN¥7.30CN¥4.30CN¥6.879
Mar ’24CN¥5.79
CN¥5.83
+0.7%
15.1%CN¥7.30CN¥4.30CN¥6.559
Feb ’24CN¥5.42
CN¥5.73
+5.7%
14.5%CN¥6.90CN¥4.30CN¥5.639
Jan ’24CN¥5.11
CN¥5.70
+11.5%
13.9%CN¥6.90CN¥4.30CN¥5.269
Dec ’23CN¥5.32
CN¥5.69
+6.9%
14.0%CN¥6.90CN¥4.30CN¥5.269
Nov ’23CN¥4.89
CN¥5.55
+13.4%
17.2%CN¥6.90CN¥3.99CN¥5.319
Oct ’23CN¥4.69
CN¥5.59
+19.1%
16.0%CN¥6.90CN¥4.30CN¥5.849
Sep ’23CN¥4.96
CN¥5.74
+15.8%
15.2%CN¥6.90CN¥4.30CN¥5.979
Aug ’23CN¥5.12
CN¥5.93
+15.7%
18.4%CN¥7.41CN¥4.24CN¥6.709
Jul ’23CN¥5.17
CN¥5.90
+14.2%
19.0%CN¥7.41CN¥4.10CN¥6.509
Jun ’23CN¥5.07
CN¥6.17
+21.7%
18.3%CN¥7.41CN¥4.10CN¥6.889

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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