Guangzhou Great Power Energy and Technology (XSEC:300438) Stock Valuation, Peer Comparison & Price Targets

Q: What is the Fair Price of 300438 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

300438 (CN¥33.18) is trading above our estimate of [[fair value]] (CN¥9.15)

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 300438 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 300438 (CN¥33.18) is trading above our estimate of fair value (CN¥9.15)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 300438 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 300438?

Key metric: As 300438 is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 300438. This is calculated by dividing 300438's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 300438's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio	2.4x
Sales	CN¥6.84b
Market Cap	CN¥16.70b

300438 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	2.7x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	31.1x
PEG Ratio	n/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 300438's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 300438 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PS	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	5.2x
688629 Sichuan Huafeng Technology	14.9x	41.1%	CN¥15.6b
600416 Xiangtan Electric Manufacturing	3.3x	n/a	CN¥15.9b
688772 Zhuhai CosMX Battery	1.6x	20.2%	CN¥18.7b
600580 Wolong Electric GroupLtd	1.2x	12.0%	CN¥18.2b
300438 Guangzhou Great Power Energy and Technology	2.4x	18.7%	CN¥16.7b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 300438 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.4x) compared to the peer average (5.3x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 300438's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the CN Electrical Industry?

6 Companies	Price / Sales	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
605222 Shanghai QiFan Cable	0.3x	10.2%	US$933.18m
600973 Baosheng Science and Technology InnovationLtd	0.1x	4.2%	US$791.17m
603897 Zhejiang grandwall electric science&technologyltd	0.4x	n/a	US$637.94m
002300 Fujian Nanping Sun Cable	0.3x	n/a	US$560.29m

6 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 300438 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.4x) compared to the CN Electrical industry average (2.4x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 300438's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

300438 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio	2.4x
Fair PS Ratio	1.5x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 300438 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.5x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 300438 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
Date	Share Price	Average 1Y Price Target	Dispersion	High	Low	1Y Actual price	Analysts
Current	CN¥32.24	CN¥22.33 -30.7%	15.2%	CN¥27.00	CN¥19.00	n/a	3
Nov ’25	CN¥33.52	CN¥22.33 -33.4%	15.2%	CN¥27.00	CN¥19.00	n/a	3
Oct ’25	CN¥31.84	CN¥22.33 -29.9%	15.2%	CN¥27.00	CN¥19.00	n/a	3
Sep ’25	CN¥27.17	CN¥22.33 -17.8%	15.2%	CN¥27.00	CN¥19.00	n/a	3
Aug ’25	CN¥18.72	CN¥22.33 +19.3%	15.2%	CN¥27.00	CN¥19.00	n/a	3
Jul ’25	CN¥18.68	CN¥22.33 +19.6%	15.2%	CN¥27.00	CN¥19.00	n/a	3
Jun ’25	CN¥22.53	CN¥25.90 +15.0%	26.4%	CN¥36.60	CN¥19.00	n/a	4
May ’25	CN¥23.96	CN¥25.90 +8.1%	26.4%	CN¥36.60	CN¥19.00	n/a	4
Apr ’25	CN¥28.81	CN¥27.90 -3.2%	28.5%	CN¥36.60	CN¥19.00	n/a	4
Mar ’25	CN¥22.76	CN¥27.90 +22.6%	28.5%	CN¥36.60	CN¥19.00	n/a	4
Feb ’25	CN¥19.87	CN¥31.40 +58.0%	22.9%	CN¥36.60	CN¥19.00	n/a	4
Jan ’25	CN¥28.29	CN¥41.98 +48.4%	26.6%	CN¥61.30	CN¥35.00	n/a	4
Dec ’24	CN¥27.16	CN¥41.98 +54.5%	26.6%	CN¥61.30	CN¥35.00	n/a	4
Nov ’24	CN¥30.24	CN¥56.43 +86.6%	28.2%	CN¥73.00	CN¥35.00	CN¥33.52	3
Oct ’24	CN¥33.02	CN¥59.77 +81.0%	19.2%	CN¥73.00	CN¥45.00	CN¥31.84	3
Sep ’24	CN¥34.74	CN¥59.77 +72.0%	19.2%	CN¥73.00	CN¥45.00	CN¥27.17	3
Aug ’24	CN¥46.22	CN¥75.80 +64.0%	13.9%	CN¥86.10	CN¥61.30	CN¥18.72	3
Jul ’24	CN¥48.04	CN¥75.80 +57.8%	13.9%	CN¥86.10	CN¥61.30	CN¥18.68	3
Jun ’24	CN¥47.05	CN¥90.03 +91.4%	11.3%	CN¥104.00	CN¥80.00	CN¥22.53	3
May ’24	CN¥52.15	CN¥89.90 +72.4%	11.4%	CN¥104.00	CN¥80.00	CN¥23.96	3
Apr ’24	CN¥56.99	CN¥94.90 +66.5%	7.9%	CN¥104.00	CN¥85.70	CN¥28.81	3
Mar ’24	CN¥65.80	CN¥99.50 +51.2%	4.5%	CN¥104.00	CN¥95.00	CN¥22.76	2
Feb ’24	CN¥76.44	CN¥99.50 +30.2%	4.5%	CN¥104.00	CN¥95.00	CN¥19.87	2
Jan ’24	CN¥77.99	CN¥83.40 +6.9%	6.6%	CN¥88.90	CN¥77.90	CN¥28.29	2
Dec ’23	CN¥74.21	CN¥83.40 +12.4%	6.6%	CN¥88.90	CN¥77.90	CN¥27.16	2
Nov ’23	CN¥64.72	CN¥83.40 +28.9%	6.6%	CN¥88.90	CN¥77.90	CN¥30.24	2

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

Discover undervalued companies

Beijing Sifang AutomationLtd

CN¥14.2b

Supplies power transmission, transformation protection, automation systems, power generation, enterprise power, and power distribution and consumption systems in China and internationally.

601126

CN¥17.02

7D

-6.8%

1Y

21.1%

China National Chemical Engineering

CN¥49.9b

An industrial engineering company, engages in the general contracting of construction, infrastructure, and overseas projects in the fields of chemical, petrochemical, pharmaceutical, power, and coal industries in China.

601117

CN¥8.16

7D

-4.9%

1Y

23.8%

Goneo Group

CN¥93.0b

Provides electrical products.

603195

CN¥70.49

7D

-4.4%

1Y

4.5%

Guangzhou Great Power Energy and Technology Valuation