Monalisa Group CO.,Ltd

XSEC:002918 Stock Report

Market Cap: CN¥3.7b

Monalisa GroupLtd Valuation

Is 002918 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 002918 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 002918 (CN¥8.95) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CN¥116.83)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 002918 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 002918?

Key metric: As 002918 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 002918. This is calculated by dividing 002918's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 002918's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio49.9x
EarningsCN¥73.35m
Market CapCN¥3.66b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 002918's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 002918 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average71.7x
600293 Hubei Sanxia New Building Materials
131.3xn/aCN¥4.3b
002631 Der Future Science and Technology Holding Group
123xn/aCN¥3.7b
000910 Dare Power Dekor HomeLtd
19.6x17.4%CN¥4.4b
603208 Jiangshan Oupai Door Industry
12.9x15.2%CN¥3.4b
002918 Monalisa GroupLtd
49.9x47.7%CN¥3.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 002918 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (49.9x) compared to the peer average (71.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 002918's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CN Building Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
002918 49.9xIndustry Avg. 24.2xNo. of Companies10PE020406080100+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 002918 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (49.9x) compared to the CN Building industry average (23.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 002918's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

002918 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio49.9x
Fair PE Ratio34x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 002918 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (49.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (34x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 002918 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCN¥8.95
CN¥9.98
+11.5%
7.9%CN¥10.94CN¥9.00n/a3
Nov ’25CN¥8.68
CN¥9.98
+15.0%
7.9%CN¥10.94CN¥9.00n/a3
Oct ’25CN¥9.53
CN¥9.71
+1.9%
5.2%CN¥10.14CN¥9.00n/a3
Sep ’25CN¥7.72
CN¥11.05
+43.1%
19.4%CN¥14.00CN¥9.00n/a3
Aug ’25CN¥8.31
CN¥13.37
+60.9%
6.6%CN¥14.00CN¥12.12n/a3
Jul ’25CN¥9.05
CN¥13.37
+47.8%
6.6%CN¥14.00CN¥12.12n/a3
Jun ’25CN¥11.03
CN¥13.37
+21.2%
6.6%CN¥14.00CN¥12.12n/a3
May ’25CN¥10.38
CN¥15.71
+51.3%
24.3%CN¥21.00CN¥12.12n/a3
Apr ’25CN¥11.50
CN¥23.80
+106.9%
15.9%CN¥29.90CN¥20.28n/a4
Mar ’25CN¥11.61
CN¥23.80
+105.0%
15.9%CN¥29.90CN¥20.28n/a4
Feb ’25CN¥11.02
CN¥23.80
+115.9%
15.9%CN¥29.90CN¥20.28n/a4
Jan ’25CN¥13.54
CN¥23.80
+75.7%
15.9%CN¥29.90CN¥20.28n/a4
Dec ’24CN¥14.12
CN¥23.80
+68.5%
15.9%CN¥29.90CN¥20.28n/a4
Nov ’24CN¥15.02
CN¥23.80
+58.4%
15.9%CN¥29.90CN¥20.28CN¥8.684
Oct ’24CN¥16.79
CN¥25.33
+50.8%
12.4%CN¥29.90CN¥21.00CN¥9.534
Sep ’24CN¥18.94
CN¥23.80
+25.7%
8.3%CN¥25.40CN¥21.00CN¥7.723
Aug ’24CN¥20.37
CN¥23.47
+15.2%
10.5%CN¥25.40CN¥20.00CN¥8.313
Jul ’24CN¥15.44
CN¥23.47
+52.0%
10.5%CN¥25.40CN¥20.00CN¥9.053
Jun ’24CN¥14.57
CN¥23.47
+61.1%
10.5%CN¥25.40CN¥20.00CN¥11.033
May ’24CN¥17.19
CN¥23.47
+36.5%
10.5%CN¥25.40CN¥20.00CN¥10.383
Apr ’24CN¥18.30
CN¥22.70
+24.0%
11.9%CN¥25.40CN¥20.00CN¥11.502
Mar ’24CN¥20.99
CN¥19.70
-6.1%
23.9%CN¥24.40CN¥15.00CN¥11.612
Feb ’24CN¥19.76
CN¥19.70
-0.3%
23.9%CN¥24.40CN¥15.00CN¥11.022
Jan ’24CN¥17.98
CN¥16.11
-10.4%
6.9%CN¥17.22CN¥15.00CN¥13.542
Dec ’23CN¥18.72
CN¥16.11
-13.9%
6.9%CN¥17.22CN¥15.00CN¥14.122
Nov ’23CN¥13.64
CN¥16.11
+18.1%
6.9%CN¥17.22CN¥15.00CN¥15.022

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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