Guangzhou KDT Machinery Co.,Ltd.

XSEC:002833 Stock Report

Market Cap: CN¥7.5b

Guangzhou KDT MachineryLtd Valuation

Is 002833 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 002833 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 002833 (CN¥17.74) is trading above our estimate of fair value (CN¥2.32)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 002833 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 002833?

Key metric: As 002833 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 002833. This is calculated by dividing 002833's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 002833's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio13.3x
EarningsCN¥566.89m
Market CapCN¥7.53b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 002833's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 002833 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average39.6x
301377 Guangdong Dtech Technology
35.9xn/aCN¥8.0b
603859 Nancal TechnologyLtd
39.6x36.6%CN¥6.8b
603169 Lanzhou LS Heavy Equipment
65.6x46.3%CN¥7.4b
002073 Mesnac
17.1xn/aCN¥8.0b
002833 Guangzhou KDT MachineryLtd
13.3x18.8%CN¥7.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 002833 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.3x) compared to the peer average (39.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 002833's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CN Machinery Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
002021 Zoje Resources Investment
4.6xn/aUS$398.81m
No more companies available in this PE range
002833 13.3xIndustry Avg. 35.0xNo. of Companies54PE020406080100+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 002833 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.3x) compared to the CN Machinery industry average (35x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 002833's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

002833 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio13.3x
Fair PE Ratio19.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 002833 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.6x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 002833 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCN¥17.74
CN¥20.90
+17.8%
5.3%CN¥22.00CN¥19.80n/a2
Nov ’25CN¥16.46
CN¥20.90
+27.0%
5.3%CN¥22.00CN¥19.80n/a2
Oct ’25CN¥18.39
CN¥20.90
+13.6%
5.3%CN¥22.00CN¥19.80n/a2
Jul ’25CN¥18.48
CN¥31.13
+68.4%
32.0%CN¥45.00CN¥22.00n/a3
Jun ’25CN¥21.34
CN¥31.13
+45.9%
32.0%CN¥45.00CN¥22.00n/a3
May ’25CN¥21.67
CN¥29.66
+36.9%
36.6%CN¥45.00CN¥21.98n/a3
Apr ’25CN¥20.10
CN¥29.66
+47.6%
36.6%CN¥45.00CN¥21.98n/a3
Mar ’25CN¥18.89
CN¥29.66
+57.0%
36.6%CN¥45.00CN¥21.98n/a3
Feb ’25CN¥15.90
CN¥29.66
+86.5%
36.6%CN¥45.00CN¥21.98n/a3
Jan ’25CN¥17.74
CN¥29.66
+67.2%
36.6%CN¥45.00CN¥21.98n/a3
Dec ’24CN¥17.53
CN¥33.49
+91.0%
34.4%CN¥45.00CN¥21.98n/a2
Nov ’24CN¥18.00
CN¥33.49
+86.1%
34.4%CN¥45.00CN¥21.98CN¥16.462
Oct ’24CN¥19.60
CN¥33.49
+70.9%
34.4%CN¥45.00CN¥21.98CN¥18.392
Sep ’24CN¥21.19
CN¥33.49
+58.0%
34.4%CN¥45.00CN¥21.98CN¥15.262
Aug ’24CN¥18.86
CN¥32.30
+71.2%
39.3%CN¥45.00CN¥19.59CN¥16.422
Jul ’24CN¥19.66
CN¥32.30
+64.3%
39.3%CN¥45.00CN¥19.59CN¥18.482
Jun ’24CN¥16.79
CN¥32.30
+92.3%
39.3%CN¥45.00CN¥19.59CN¥21.342
May ’24CN¥16.60
CN¥33.55
+102.1%
41.6%CN¥47.50CN¥19.59CN¥21.672
Apr ’24CN¥17.53
CN¥33.55
+91.4%
41.6%CN¥47.50CN¥19.59CN¥20.102
Mar ’24CN¥17.99
CN¥33.55
+86.5%
41.6%CN¥47.50CN¥19.59CN¥18.892
Feb ’24CN¥15.08
CN¥33.55
+122.4%
41.6%CN¥47.50CN¥19.59CN¥15.902
Jan ’24CN¥12.33
CN¥33.55
+172.1%
41.6%CN¥47.50CN¥19.59CN¥17.742
Dec ’23CN¥13.64
CN¥33.55
+145.9%
41.6%CN¥47.50CN¥19.59CN¥17.532
Nov ’23CN¥15.26
CN¥33.08
+116.8%
43.6%CN¥47.50CN¥18.66CN¥18.002

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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