Guangdong Hongtu Technology (holdings) Co.,Ltd.

XSEC:002101 Stock Report

Market Cap: CN¥7.4b

Guangdong Hongtu Technology (holdings)Ltd Valuation

Is 2101 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 2101 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 002101 (CN¥11.08) is trading above our estimate of fair value (CN¥6.11)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 002101 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 2101?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

2101 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.8x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA8x
PEG Ratio1x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 2101's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 2101 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average20.6x
300470 Sinoseal Holding
21.2x17.0%CN¥7.4b
002073 Mesnac
19.7xn/aCN¥7.6b
002534 Xizi Clean Energy Equipment Manufacturing
27.8x17.8%CN¥8.0b
002833 Guangzhou KDT MachineryLtd
13.8x18.4%CN¥8.4b
002101 Guangdong Hongtu Technology (holdings)Ltd
17.9x17.9%CN¥7.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 002101 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.9x) compared to the peer average (20.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 2101's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CN Machinery Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a26.9%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a26.9%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 002101 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.9x) compared to the CN Machinery industry average (28.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 2101's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

2101 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio17.9x
Fair PE Ratio18.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 002101 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 2101 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCN¥11.08
CN¥15.95
+44.0%
10.6%CN¥18.00CN¥13.86n/a3
Jun ’25CN¥11.81
CN¥15.95
+35.1%
10.6%CN¥18.00CN¥13.86n/a3
May ’25CN¥12.75
CN¥15.95
+25.1%
10.6%CN¥18.00CN¥13.86n/a3
Apr ’25CN¥13.50
CN¥20.81
+54.2%
9.6%CN¥22.44CN¥18.00n/a3
Mar ’25CN¥13.01
CN¥20.81
+60.0%
9.6%CN¥22.44CN¥18.00n/a3
Feb ’25CN¥11.65
CN¥20.81
+78.7%
9.6%CN¥22.44CN¥18.00n/a3
Jan ’25CN¥15.23
CN¥20.81
+36.7%
9.6%CN¥22.44CN¥18.00n/a3
Dec ’24CN¥16.24
CN¥22.22
+36.8%
1.0%CN¥22.44CN¥22.00n/a2
Nov ’24CN¥16.60
CN¥22.22
+33.9%
1.0%CN¥22.44CN¥22.00n/a2
Oct ’24CN¥17.44
CN¥22.47
+28.8%
2.1%CN¥22.94CN¥22.00n/a2
Sep ’24CN¥17.45
CN¥22.47
+28.8%
2.1%CN¥22.94CN¥22.00n/a2
Jun ’24CN¥19.05
CN¥25.25
+32.5%
12.9%CN¥28.50CN¥22.00CN¥11.812
May ’24CN¥17.38
CN¥30.25
+74.1%
5.8%CN¥32.00CN¥28.50CN¥12.752
Apr ’24CN¥20.10
CN¥30.25
+50.5%
5.8%CN¥32.00CN¥28.50CN¥13.502
Mar ’24CN¥24.47
CN¥30.25
+23.6%
5.8%CN¥32.00CN¥28.50CN¥13.012
Feb ’24CN¥25.03
CN¥30.25
+20.9%
5.8%CN¥32.00CN¥28.50CN¥11.652
Jan ’24CN¥21.67
CN¥31.75
+46.5%
10.2%CN¥35.00CN¥28.50CN¥15.232
Dec ’23n/a
CN¥31.75
0%
10.2%CN¥35.00CN¥28.50CN¥16.242
Nov ’23n/a
CN¥31.75
0%
10.2%CN¥35.00CN¥28.50CN¥16.602
Oct ’23n/a
CN¥27.83
0%
36.4%CN¥35.00CN¥13.49CN¥17.443
Sep ’23n/a
CN¥27.83
0%
36.4%CN¥35.00CN¥13.49CN¥17.453
Aug ’23n/a
CN¥27.83
0%
36.4%CN¥35.00CN¥13.49CN¥20.113
Jul ’23n/a
CN¥20.25
0%
33.4%CN¥27.00CN¥13.49CN¥19.582

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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