Stock Analysis

Guangdong Real-Design Intelligent Technology Co., Ltd's (SZSE:301135) Has Been On A Rise But Financial Prospects Look Weak: Is The Stock Overpriced?

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SZSE:301135

Guangdong Real-Design Intelligent Technology's (SZSE:301135) stock is up by a considerable 11% over the past week. However, in this article, we decided to focus on its weak fundamentals, as long-term financial performance of a business is what ultimately dictates market outcomes. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Guangdong Real-Design Intelligent Technology's ROE today.

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors’ money. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

See our latest analysis for Guangdong Real-Design Intelligent Technology

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Guangdong Real-Design Intelligent Technology is:

3.0% = CN¥37m ÷ CN¥1.2b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.03 in profit.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company’s earnings growth potential. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don’t share these attributes.

A Side By Side comparison of Guangdong Real-Design Intelligent Technology's Earnings Growth And 3.0% ROE

It is quite clear that Guangdong Real-Design Intelligent Technology's ROE is rather low. Even when compared to the industry average of 6.9%, the ROE figure is pretty disappointing. For this reason, Guangdong Real-Design Intelligent Technology's five year net income decline of 19% is not surprising given its lower ROE. We reckon that there could also be other factors at play here. For instance, the company has a very high payout ratio, or is faced with competitive pressures.

So, as a next step, we compared Guangdong Real-Design Intelligent Technology's performance against the industry and were disappointed to discover that while the company has been shrinking its earnings, the industry has been growing its earnings at a rate of 12% over the last few years.

SZSE:301135 Past Earnings Growth September 30th 2024

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Guangdong Real-Design Intelligent Technology is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

Is Guangdong Real-Design Intelligent Technology Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

Guangdong Real-Design Intelligent Technology's declining earnings is not surprising given how the company is spending most of its profits in paying dividends, judging by its three-year median payout ratio of 59% (or a retention ratio of 41%). The business is only left with a small pool of capital to reinvest - A vicious cycle that doesn't benefit the company in the long-run. To know the 3 risks we have identified for Guangdong Real-Design Intelligent Technology visit our risks dashboard for free.

Only recently, Guangdong Real-Design Intelligent Technology stated paying a dividend. This likely means that the management might have concluded that its shareholders have a strong preference for dividends.

Conclusion

Overall, we would be extremely cautious before making any decision on Guangdong Real-Design Intelligent Technology. As a result of its low ROE and lack of much reinvestment into the business, the company has seen a disappointing earnings growth rate. Until now, we have only just grazed the surface of the company's past performance by looking at the company's fundamentals. So it may be worth checking this free detailed graph of Guangdong Real-Design Intelligent Technology's past earnings, as well as revenue and cash flows to get a deeper insight into the company's performance.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.