Stock Analysis

Don't Buy Shenzhen Tongye Technology Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:300960) For Its Next Dividend Without Doing These Checks

SZSE:300960
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Shenzhen Tongye Technology Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:300960) stock is about to trade ex-dividend in three days. The ex-dividend date is one business day before a company's record date, which is the date on which the company determines which shareholders are entitled to receive a dividend. The ex-dividend date is an important date to be aware of as any purchase of the stock made on or after this date might mean a late settlement that doesn't show on the record date. Therefore, if you purchase Shenzhen Tongye TechnologyLtd's shares on or after the 13th of June, you won't be eligible to receive the dividend, when it is paid on the 13th of June.

The company's next dividend payment will be CN¥0.60 per share, and in the last 12 months, the company paid a total of CN¥0.60 per share. Last year's total dividend payments show that Shenzhen Tongye TechnologyLtd has a trailing yield of 3.8% on the current share price of CN¥15.78. Dividends are a major contributor to investment returns for long term holders, but only if the dividend continues to be paid. We need to see whether the dividend is covered by earnings and if it's growing.

View our latest analysis for Shenzhen Tongye TechnologyLtd

Dividends are typically paid from company earnings. If a company pays more in dividends than it earned in profit, then the dividend could be unsustainable. Shenzhen Tongye TechnologyLtd paid out 158% of profit in the past year, which we think is typically not sustainable unless there are mitigating characteristics such as unusually strong cash flow or a large cash balance. Yet cash flows are even more important than profits for assessing a dividend, so we need to see if the company generated enough cash to pay its distribution. It paid out 85% of its free cash flow as dividends, which is within usual limits but will limit the company's ability to lift the dividend if there's no growth.

It's disappointing to see that the dividend was not covered by profits, but cash is more important from a dividend sustainability perspective, and Shenzhen Tongye TechnologyLtd fortunately did generate enough cash to fund its dividend. If executives were to continue paying more in dividends than the company reported in profits, we'd view this as a warning sign. Extraordinarily few companies are capable of persistently paying a dividend that is greater than their profits.

Click here to see how much of its profit Shenzhen Tongye TechnologyLtd paid out over the last 12 months.

historic-dividend
SZSE:300960 Historic Dividend June 9th 2024

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

Companies with falling earnings are riskier for dividend shareholders. If business enters a downturn and the dividend is cut, the company could see its value fall precipitously. Shenzhen Tongye TechnologyLtd's earnings per share have fallen at approximately 17% a year over the previous five years. When earnings per share fall, the maximum amount of dividends that can be paid also falls.

Many investors will assess a company's dividend performance by evaluating how much the dividend payments have changed over time. Shenzhen Tongye TechnologyLtd has delivered 14% dividend growth per year on average over the past three years. The only way to pay higher dividends when earnings are shrinking is either to pay out a larger percentage of profits, spend cash from the balance sheet, or borrow the money. Shenzhen Tongye TechnologyLtd is already paying out a high percentage of its income, so without earnings growth, we're doubtful of whether this dividend will grow much in the future.

Final Takeaway

Should investors buy Shenzhen Tongye TechnologyLtd for the upcoming dividend? Earnings per share have been shrinking in recent times. Additionally, Shenzhen Tongye TechnologyLtd is paying out quite a high percentage of its earnings, and more than half its cash flow, so it's hard to evaluate whether the company is reinvesting enough in its business to improve its situation. It's not that we think Shenzhen Tongye TechnologyLtd is a bad company, but these characteristics don't generally lead to outstanding dividend performance.

So if you're still interested in Shenzhen Tongye TechnologyLtd despite it's poor dividend qualities, you should be well informed on some of the risks facing this stock. In terms of investment risks, we've identified 3 warning signs with Shenzhen Tongye TechnologyLtd and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If you're in the market for strong dividend payers, we recommend checking our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.