Stock Analysis

Even though Foshan Golden Milky Way Intelligent Equipment (SZSE:300619) has lost CN¥385m market cap in last 7 days, shareholders are still up 76% over 5 years

Published
SZSE:300619

Stock pickers are generally looking for stocks that will outperform the broader market. And the truth is, you can make significant gains if you buy good quality businesses at the right price. For example, the Foshan Golden Milky Way Intelligent Equipment Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300619) share price is up 73% in the last 5 years, clearly besting the market return of around 22% (ignoring dividends).

Since the long term performance has been good but there's been a recent pullback of 9.1%, let's check if the fundamentals match the share price.

See our latest analysis for Foshan Golden Milky Way Intelligent Equipment

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

During five years of share price growth, Foshan Golden Milky Way Intelligent Equipment achieved compound earnings per share (EPS) growth of 16% per year. The EPS growth is more impressive than the yearly share price gain of 12% over the same period. So it seems the market isn't so enthusiastic about the stock these days.

The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

SZSE:300619 Earnings Per Share Growth November 21st 2024

Dive deeper into Foshan Golden Milky Way Intelligent Equipment's key metrics by checking this interactive graph of Foshan Golden Milky Way Intelligent Equipment's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What About Dividends?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, Foshan Golden Milky Way Intelligent Equipment's TSR for the last 5 years was 76%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

A Different Perspective

Foshan Golden Milky Way Intelligent Equipment shareholders are down 33% for the year (even including dividends), but the market itself is up 8.3%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 12% per year over half a decade. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for Foshan Golden Milky Way Intelligent Equipment (3 are a bit unpleasant) that you should be aware of.

We will like Foshan Golden Milky Way Intelligent Equipment better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of undervalued stocks (mostly small caps) with considerable, recent, insider buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.