Is Cscec Scimee Sci.&Tech.Ltd (SZSE:300425) A Risky Investment?
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Cscec Scimee Sci.&Tech. Co.,Ltd (SZSE:300425) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
Check out our latest analysis for Cscec Scimee Sci.&Tech.Ltd
What Is Cscec Scimee Sci.&Tech.Ltd's Net Debt?
The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Cscec Scimee Sci.&Tech.Ltd had CN¥802.2m in debt in September 2024; about the same as the year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥103.6m, its net debt is less, at about CN¥698.6m.
How Healthy Is Cscec Scimee Sci.&Tech.Ltd's Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Cscec Scimee Sci.&Tech.Ltd had liabilities of CN¥1.53b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥419.8m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥103.6m in cash and CN¥1.94b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it actually has CN¥93.7m more liquid assets than total liabilities.
This short term liquidity is a sign that Cscec Scimee Sci.&Tech.Ltd could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
Cscec Scimee Sci.&Tech.Ltd has net debt worth 2.3 times EBITDA, which isn't too much, but its interest cover looks a bit on the low side, with EBIT at only 7.0 times the interest expense. While that doesn't worry us too much, it does suggest the interest payments are somewhat of a burden. Importantly Cscec Scimee Sci.&Tech.Ltd's EBIT was essentially flat over the last twelve months. Ideally it can diminish its debt load by kick-starting earnings growth. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Cscec Scimee Sci.&Tech.Ltd will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, Cscec Scimee Sci.&Tech.Ltd saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.
Our View
Cscec Scimee Sci.&Tech.Ltd's struggle to convert EBIT to free cash flow had us second guessing its balance sheet strength, but the other data-points we considered were relatively redeeming. But on the bright side, its ability to to handle its total liabilities isn't too shabby at all. Looking at all the angles mentioned above, it does seem to us that Cscec Scimee Sci.&Tech.Ltd is a somewhat risky investment as a result of its debt. Not all risk is bad, as it can boost share price returns if it pays off, but this debt risk is worth keeping in mind. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example Cscec Scimee Sci.&Tech.Ltd has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is potentially serious) we think you should know about.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:300425
Cscec Scimee Sci.&Tech.Ltd
Manufactures and sells environmental protection equipment and services in China.
Excellent balance sheet second-rate dividend payer.