There's Reason For Concern Over Shenzhen JT Automation Equipment Co.,Ltd's (SZSE:300400) Massive 38% Price Jump
Shenzhen JT Automation Equipment Co.,Ltd (SZSE:300400) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 38% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Unfortunately, despite the strong performance over the last month, the full year gain of 3.9% isn't as attractive.
Since its price has surged higher, given around half the companies in China's Machinery industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.3x, you may consider Shenzhen JT Automation EquipmentLtd as a stock to avoid entirely with its 5.6x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Check out our latest analysis for Shenzhen JT Automation EquipmentLtd
How Has Shenzhen JT Automation EquipmentLtd Performed Recently?
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Shenzhen JT Automation EquipmentLtd over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Shenzhen JT Automation EquipmentLtd, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.How Is Shenzhen JT Automation EquipmentLtd's Revenue Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Shenzhen JT Automation EquipmentLtd's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 24%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 28% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 21% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
In light of this, it's alarming that Shenzhen JT Automation EquipmentLtd's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
The Bottom Line On Shenzhen JT Automation EquipmentLtd's P/S
Shenzhen JT Automation EquipmentLtd's P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
We've established that Shenzhen JT Automation EquipmentLtd currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. When we see revenue heading backwards and underperforming the industry forecasts, we feel the possibility of the share price declining is very real, bringing the P/S back into the realm of reasonability. Should recent medium-term revenue trends persist, it would pose a significant risk to existing shareholders' investments and prospective investors will have a hard time accepting the current value of the stock.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for Shenzhen JT Automation EquipmentLtd (of which 2 are a bit concerning!) you should know about.
If you're unsure about the strength of Shenzhen JT Automation EquipmentLtd's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place
We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.
• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
• Track the Fair Value of your stocks
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:300400
Shenzhen JT Automation EquipmentLtd
Engages in the research and development, production, and sale of intelligent equipment and manufacturing systems.
Flawless balance sheet with proven track record and pays a dividend.