Xuzhou Handler Special Vehicle Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of 300201 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

300201 (CN¥5.5) is trading below our estimate of [[fair value]] (CN¥7.51)

Is 300201 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 300201 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 300201 (CN¥5.5) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CN¥7.51)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 300201 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 300201?

Key metric: As 300201 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 300201. This is calculated by dividing 300201's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 300201's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	26.4x
Earnings	CN¥205.99m
Market Cap	CN¥5.44b

300201 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	4.3x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	24.1x
PEG Ratio	1.1x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 300201's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 300201 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	24.5x
002111 Weihai Guangtai Airport EquipmentLtd	29.9x	42.9%	CN¥5.6b
002283 Tianrun Industry Technology	15.8x	26.2%	CN¥5.5b
301048 Gemac Engineering Machinery	22.5x	n/a	CN¥5.1b
600817 Yutong Heavy IndustriesLtd	29.6x	16.3%	CN¥6.6b
300201 Xuzhou Handler Special Vehicle	26.4x	24.5%	CN¥5.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 300201 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.4x) compared to the peer average (24.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 300201's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CN Machinery Industry?

1 Company	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
002021 Zoje Resources Investment	4.6x	n/a	US$398.16m

No more companies available in this PE range

1 Company		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 300201 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.4x) compared to the CN Machinery industry average (35.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 300201's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

300201 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	26.4x
Fair PE Ratio	24.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 300201 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.1x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.

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