Stock Analysis

Shenzhen Cheng Chung Design Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002811) Stock Rockets 28% As Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected

SZSE:002811
Source: Shutterstock

Shenzhen Cheng Chung Design Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002811) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 28% gain in the last month alone. Unfortunately, despite the strong performance over the last month, the full year gain of 7.1% isn't as attractive.

Following the firm bounce in price, when almost half of the companies in China's Construction industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.3x, you may consider Shenzhen Cheng Chung Design as a stock probably not worth researching with its 2.4x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.

See our latest analysis for Shenzhen Cheng Chung Design

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:002811 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry November 11th 2024

What Does Shenzhen Cheng Chung Design's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

For example, consider that Shenzhen Cheng Chung Design's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Shenzhen Cheng Chung Design will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

How Is Shenzhen Cheng Chung Design's Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as high as Shenzhen Cheng Chung Design's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 4.8% decrease to the company's top line. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 46% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 14% shows it's an unpleasant look.

With this information, we find it concerning that Shenzhen Cheng Chung Design is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

What Does Shenzhen Cheng Chung Design's P/S Mean For Investors?

Shenzhen Cheng Chung Design shares have taken a big step in a northerly direction, but its P/S is elevated as a result. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've established that Shenzhen Cheng Chung Design currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. Should recent medium-term revenue trends persist, it would pose a significant risk to existing shareholders' investments and prospective investors will have a hard time accepting the current value of the stock.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 3 warning signs for Shenzhen Cheng Chung Design (1 is potentially serious!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If you're unsure about the strength of Shenzhen Cheng Chung Design's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.