Stock Analysis

Shareholders Can Be Confident That Shenzhen Cheng Chung Design's (SZSE:002811) Earnings Are High Quality

SZSE:002811
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Investors were disappointed with Shenzhen Cheng Chung Design Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002811) earnings, despite the strong profit numbers. We think that the market might be paying attention to some underlying factors that they find to be concerning.

See our latest analysis for Shenzhen Cheng Chung Design

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SZSE:002811 Earnings and Revenue History August 29th 2024

Examining Cashflow Against Shenzhen Cheng Chung Design's Earnings

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

For the year to June 2024, Shenzhen Cheng Chung Design had an accrual ratio of -0.31. That indicates that its free cash flow quite significantly exceeded its statutory profit. Indeed, in the last twelve months it reported free cash flow of CN¥327m, well over the CN¥7.57m it reported in profit. Shenzhen Cheng Chung Design's free cash flow improved over the last year, which is generally good to see. Having said that, there is more to the story. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Shenzhen Cheng Chung Design.

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

While the accrual ratio might bode well, we also note that Shenzhen Cheng Chung Design's profit was boosted by unusual items worth CN¥86m in the last twelve months. While it's always nice to have higher profit, a large contribution from unusual items sometimes dampens our enthusiasm. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. We can see that Shenzhen Cheng Chung Design's positive unusual items were quite significant relative to its profit in the year to June 2024. All else being equal, this would likely have the effect of making the statutory profit a poor guide to underlying earnings power.

Our Take On Shenzhen Cheng Chung Design's Profit Performance

Shenzhen Cheng Chung Design's profits got a boost from unusual items, which indicates they might not be sustained and yet its accrual ratio still indicated solid cash conversion, which is promising. Given the contrasting considerations, we don't have a strong view as to whether Shenzhen Cheng Chung Design's profits are an apt reflection of its underlying potential for profit. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for Shenzhen Cheng Chung Design (1 is a bit concerning) you should be familiar with.

Our examination of Shenzhen Cheng Chung Design has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.