Stock Analysis

Kehua Data (SZSE:002335) Could Easily Take On More Debt

SZSE:002335
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Kehua Data Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002335) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Kehua Data

What Is Kehua Data's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2023 Kehua Data had debt of CN¥3.10b, up from CN¥1.95b in one year. On the flip side, it has CN¥2.17b in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥928.7m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:002335 Debt to Equity History February 28th 2024

How Healthy Is Kehua Data's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Kehua Data had liabilities of CN¥4.44b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥3.39b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥2.17b as well as receivables valued at CN¥3.47b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥2.20b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Since publicly traded Kehua Data shares are worth a total of CN¥11.4b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Kehua Data has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.84. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 10.7 times the size. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. On top of that, Kehua Data grew its EBIT by 67% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Kehua Data's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last three years, Kehua Data actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.

Our View

The good news is that Kehua Data's demonstrated ability to convert EBIT to free cash flow delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. And the good news does not stop there, as its EBIT growth rate also supports that impression! Considering this range of factors, it seems to us that Kehua Data is quite prudent with its debt, and the risks seem well managed. So the balance sheet looks pretty healthy, to us. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 2 warning signs with Kehua Data , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Kehua Data is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.