Stock Analysis

The three-year earnings decline is not helping Goldwind Science And Technology's (SZSE:002202 share price, as stock falls another 3.3% in past week

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SZSE:002202

As an investor its worth striving to ensure your overall portfolio beats the market average. But if you try your hand at stock picking, you risk returning less than the market. We regret to report that long term Goldwind Science And Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002202) shareholders have had that experience, with the share price dropping 36% in three years, versus a market decline of about 22%. The more recent news is of little comfort, with the share price down 29% in a year.

If the past week is anything to go by, investor sentiment for Goldwind Science And Technology isn't positive, so let's see if there's a mismatch between fundamentals and the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for Goldwind Science And Technology

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

During the three years that the share price fell, Goldwind Science And Technology's earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 54% each year. This fall in the EPS is worse than the 14% compound annual share price fall. This suggests that the market retains some optimism around long term earnings stability, despite past EPS declines. This positive sentiment is also reflected in the generous P/E ratio of 101.19.

The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

SZSE:002202 Earnings Per Share Growth June 12th 2024

It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on Goldwind Science And Technology's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What About Dividends?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. We note that for Goldwind Science And Technology the TSR over the last 3 years was -33%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

A Different Perspective

We regret to report that Goldwind Science And Technology shareholders are down 29% for the year (even including dividends). Unfortunately, that's worse than the broader market decline of 13%. Having said that, it's inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 5% per year over five years. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Even so, be aware that Goldwind Science And Technology is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 2 of those make us uncomfortable...

But note: Goldwind Science And Technology may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.