Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That GoodWe Technologies (SHSE:688390) Is Using Debt Extensively

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SHSE:688390

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that GoodWe Technologies Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688390) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for GoodWe Technologies

What Is GoodWe Technologies's Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of June 2024, GoodWe Technologies had CN¥780.2m of debt, up from CN¥193.5m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥764.9m, its net debt is less, at about CN¥15.2m.

SHSE:688390 Debt to Equity History October 23rd 2024

A Look At GoodWe Technologies' Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, GoodWe Technologies had liabilities of CN¥3.96b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥511.8m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥764.9m and CN¥1.24b worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥2.46b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Of course, GoodWe Technologies has a market capitalization of CN¥13.6b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. Carrying virtually no net debt, GoodWe Technologies has a very light debt load indeed.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

GoodWe Technologies has very modest net debt levels, with net debt at just 0.079 times EBITDA. Happily, it actually managed to receive more interest than it paid, over the last year. So there's no doubt this company can take on debt as easily as enthusiastic spray-tanners take on an orange hue. It is just as well that GoodWe Technologies's load is not too heavy, because its EBIT was down 93% over the last year. When a company sees its earnings tank, it can sometimes find its relationships with its lenders turn sour. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine GoodWe Technologies's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Considering the last three years, GoodWe Technologies actually recorded a cash outflow, overall. Debt is usually more expensive, and almost always more risky in the hands of a company with negative free cash flow. Shareholders ought to hope for an improvement.

Our View

While GoodWe Technologies's EBIT growth rate has us nervous. For example, its interest cover and net debt to EBITDA give us some confidence in its ability to manage its debt. Taking the abovementioned factors together we do think GoodWe Technologies's debt poses some risks to the business. While that debt can boost returns, we think the company has enough leverage now. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for GoodWe Technologies (3 are a bit unpleasant) you should be aware of.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.