Stock Analysis

We Think That There Are More Issues For Xi'an Bright Laser TechnologiesLtd (SHSE:688333) Than Just Sluggish Earnings

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SHSE:688333

Investors were disappointed with Xi'an Bright Laser Technologies Co.,Ltd.'s (SHSE:688333) recent earnings. We think there is more to the story than simply soft profit numbers. Our analysis shows that there are some other factors of concern.

Check out our latest analysis for Xi'an Bright Laser TechnologiesLtd

SHSE:688333 Earnings and Revenue History November 6th 2024

Zooming In On Xi'an Bright Laser TechnologiesLtd's Earnings

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

For the year to September 2024, Xi'an Bright Laser TechnologiesLtd had an accrual ratio of 0.33. We can therefore deduce that its free cash flow fell well short of covering its statutory profit, suggesting we might want to think twice before putting a lot of weight on the latter. Even though it reported a profit of CN¥129.8m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through CN¥823m in the last year. We also note that Xi'an Bright Laser TechnologiesLtd's free cash flow was actually negative last year as well, so we could understand if shareholders were bothered by its outflow of CN¥823m. Having said that, there is more to consider. We must also consider the impact of unusual items on statutory profit (and thus the accrual ratio), as well as note the ramifications of the company issuing new shares.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

To understand the value of a company's earnings growth, it is imperative to consider any dilution of shareholders' interests. In fact, Xi'an Bright Laser TechnologiesLtd increased the number of shares on issue by 21% over the last twelve months by issuing new shares. That means its earnings are split among a greater number of shares. To talk about net income, without noticing earnings per share, is to be distracted by the big numbers while ignoring the smaller numbers that talk to per share value. Check out Xi'an Bright Laser TechnologiesLtd's historical EPS growth by clicking on this link.

How Is Dilution Impacting Xi'an Bright Laser TechnologiesLtd's Earnings Per Share (EPS)?

Xi'an Bright Laser TechnologiesLtd was losing money three years ago. Even looking at the last year, profit was still down 7.3%. Like a sack of potatoes thrown from a delivery truck, EPS fell harder, down 17% in the same period. So you can see that the dilution has had a bit of an impact on shareholders.

In the long term, if Xi'an Bright Laser TechnologiesLtd's earnings per share can increase, then the share price should too. However, if its profit increases while its earnings per share stay flat (or even fall) then shareholders might not see much benefit. For the ordinary retail shareholder, EPS is a great measure to check your hypothetical "share" of the company's profit.

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

Given the accrual ratio, it's not overly surprising that Xi'an Bright Laser TechnologiesLtd's profit was boosted by unusual items worth CN¥88m in the last twelve months. While it's always nice to have higher profit, a large contribution from unusual items sometimes dampens our enthusiasm. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. Xi'an Bright Laser TechnologiesLtd had a rather significant contribution from unusual items relative to its profit to September 2024. As a result, we can surmise that the unusual items are making its statutory profit significantly stronger than it would otherwise be.

Our Take On Xi'an Bright Laser TechnologiesLtd's Profit Performance

In conclusion, Xi'an Bright Laser TechnologiesLtd's weak accrual ratio suggested its statutory earnings have been inflated by the unusual items. The dilution means the results are weaker when viewed from a per-share perspective. For all the reasons mentioned above, we think that, at a glance, Xi'an Bright Laser TechnologiesLtd's statutory profits could be considered to be low quality, because they are likely to give investors an overly positive impression of the company. In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Xi'an Bright Laser TechnologiesLtd you should be mindful of and 1 of these is concerning.

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, and we've come away cautious. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.