KEDE Numerical Control Co., Ltd.

SHSE:688305 Stock Report

Market Cap: CN¥7.5b

KEDE Numerical Control Valuation

Is 688305 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 688305 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 688305 (CN¥69.21) is trading above our estimate of fair value (CN¥2.71)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 688305 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 688305?

Key metric: As 688305 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 688305. This is calculated by dividing 688305's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 688305's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio64.3x
EarningsCN¥109.45m
Market CapCN¥7.46b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 688305's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 688305 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average33.7x
002997 Rayhoo Motor DiesLtd
23.4x26.1%CN¥7.0b
300953 Ningbo Zhenyu Technology
42x57.6%CN¥7.0b
000821 J.S. Corrugating Machinery
17.9x36.1%CN¥8.8b
688518 Shenzhen United Winners Laser
51.7x48.8%CN¥7.1b
688305 KEDE Numerical Control
64.3x41.0%CN¥7.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 688305 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (64.3x) compared to the peer average (33.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 688305's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CN Machinery Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
002021 Zoje Resources Investment
4.6xn/aUS$428.07m
No more companies available in this PE range
688305 64.3xIndustry Avg. 35.8xNo. of Companies56PE020406080100+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 688305 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (64.3x) compared to the CN Machinery industry average (35.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 688305's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

688305 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio64.3x
Fair PE Ratio33.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 688305 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (64.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (33.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 688305 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCN¥69.21
CN¥82.35
+19.0%
12.2%CN¥96.31CN¥69.10n/a4
Nov ’25CN¥70.50
CN¥79.34
+12.5%
8.3%CN¥86.00CN¥69.10n/a4
Oct ’25CN¥74.39
CN¥79.34
+6.7%
8.3%CN¥86.00CN¥69.10n/a4
Sep ’25CN¥59.60
CN¥77.70
+30.4%
8.9%CN¥86.00CN¥69.10n/a3
Aug ’25CN¥64.51
CN¥84.76
+31.4%
1.5%CN¥86.00CN¥83.51n/a2
Jul ’25CN¥63.86
CN¥84.76
+32.7%
1.5%CN¥86.00CN¥83.51n/a2
Jun ’25CN¥68.93
CN¥103.17
+49.7%
25.3%CN¥140.00CN¥83.51n/a3
May ’25CN¥73.03
CN¥103.17
+41.3%
25.3%CN¥140.00CN¥83.51n/a3
Apr ’25CN¥79.75
CN¥102.54
+28.6%
25.9%CN¥140.00CN¥81.61n/a3
Mar ’25CN¥79.90
CN¥102.54
+28.3%
25.9%CN¥140.00CN¥81.61n/a3
Feb ’25CN¥64.16
CN¥102.54
+59.8%
25.9%CN¥140.00CN¥81.61n/a3
Jan ’25CN¥76.45
CN¥102.54
+34.1%
25.9%CN¥140.00CN¥81.61n/a3
Dec ’24CN¥73.20
CN¥102.54
+40.1%
25.9%CN¥140.00CN¥81.61n/a3
Nov ’24CN¥70.47
CN¥102.54
+45.5%
25.9%CN¥140.00CN¥81.61CN¥70.503
Oct ’24CN¥77.64
CN¥103.87
+33.8%
24.8%CN¥140.00CN¥81.61CN¥74.393
Sep ’24CN¥79.50
CN¥85.81
+7.9%
4.9%CN¥90.00CN¥81.61CN¥59.602
Aug ’24CN¥88.25
CN¥118.95
+34.8%
15.4%CN¥137.29CN¥100.60CN¥64.512
Jul ’24CN¥100.26
CN¥125.03
+24.7%
15.4%CN¥140.00CN¥97.80CN¥63.863
Jun ’24CN¥95.37
CN¥125.03
+31.1%
15.4%CN¥140.00CN¥97.80CN¥68.933
May ’24CN¥96.51
CN¥125.03
+29.6%
15.4%CN¥140.00CN¥97.80CN¥73.033
Apr ’24CN¥81.25
CN¥120.40
+48.2%
14.4%CN¥140.00CN¥97.80CN¥79.753
Mar ’24CN¥85.13
CN¥117.80
+38.4%
17.7%CN¥140.00CN¥90.00CN¥79.903
Feb ’24CN¥98.50
CN¥115.00
+16.8%
21.7%CN¥140.00CN¥90.00CN¥64.162
Jan ’24CN¥88.50
CN¥115.00
+29.9%
21.7%CN¥140.00CN¥90.00CN¥76.452
Dec ’23CN¥106.84
CN¥115.00
+7.6%
21.7%CN¥140.00CN¥90.00CN¥73.202
Nov ’23CN¥101.10
CN¥115.00
+13.7%
21.7%CN¥140.00CN¥90.00CN¥70.472

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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