Guizhou Aviation Technical Development Co., Ltd

SHSE:688239 Stock Report

Market Cap: CN¥5.7b

Guizhou Aviation Technical Development Valuation

Is 688239 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 688239 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 688239 (CN¥39.7) is trading above our estimate of fair value (CN¥21.21)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 688239 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 688239?

Key metric: As 688239 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 688239. This is calculated by dividing 688239's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 688239's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio35.2x
EarningsCN¥166.04m
Market CapCN¥5.66b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 688239's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 688239 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average73.4x
300719 Beijing Andawell Science & Technology
49.6xn/aCN¥4.8b
300900 Guanglian Aviation Industry
113.6x51.9%CN¥6.4b
688510 Wuxi HyatechLtd
39.1x30.1%CN¥4.3b
600391 Aecc Aero Science and TechnologyLtd
91.3x16.1%CN¥6.1b
688239 Guizhou Aviation Technical Development
35.2x40.4%CN¥5.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 688239 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (35.2x) compared to the peer average (73.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 688239's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CN Aerospace & Defense Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
688239 35.2xIndustry Avg. 64.8xNo. of Companies5PE020406080100+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 688239 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (35.2x) compared to the CN Aerospace & Defense industry average (64.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 688239's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

688239 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio35.2x
Fair PE Ratio33.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 688239 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (35.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (33.6x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 688239 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCN¥39.70
CN¥47.91
+20.7%
0.8%CN¥48.30CN¥47.51n/a2
Nov ’25CN¥40.06
CN¥47.91
+19.6%
0.8%CN¥48.30CN¥47.51n/a2
Oct ’25CN¥36.60
CN¥41.56
+13.5%
14.3%CN¥47.51CN¥35.60n/a2
Sep ’25CN¥28.84
CN¥41.56
+44.1%
14.3%CN¥47.51CN¥35.60n/a2
Aug ’25CN¥36.31
CN¥46.16
+27.1%
2.9%CN¥47.51CN¥44.80n/a2
Jul ’25CN¥33.76
CN¥46.16
+36.7%
2.9%CN¥47.51CN¥44.80n/a2
Jun ’25CN¥39.07
CN¥65.49
+67.6%
31.6%CN¥86.17CN¥44.80n/a2
May ’25CN¥34.57
CN¥65.49
+89.4%
31.6%CN¥86.17CN¥44.80n/a2
Apr ’25CN¥34.38
CN¥76.78
+123.3%
12.2%CN¥86.17CN¥67.39n/a2
Mar ’25CN¥36.68
CN¥76.78
+109.3%
12.2%CN¥86.17CN¥67.39n/a2
Feb ’25CN¥31.75
CN¥76.78
+141.8%
12.2%CN¥86.17CN¥67.39n/a2
Jan ’25CN¥47.77
CN¥76.78
+60.7%
12.2%CN¥86.17CN¥67.39n/a2
Dec ’24CN¥50.55
CN¥76.78
+51.9%
12.2%CN¥86.17CN¥67.39n/a2
Nov ’24CN¥49.55
CN¥76.78
+55.0%
12.2%CN¥86.17CN¥67.39CN¥40.062
Oct ’24CN¥56.64
CN¥84.57
+49.3%
1.9%CN¥86.17CN¥82.96CN¥36.602
Sep ’24CN¥61.65
CN¥84.57
+37.2%
1.9%CN¥86.17CN¥82.96CN¥28.842
Aug ’24CN¥57.80
CN¥88.45
+53.0%
2.6%CN¥90.72CN¥86.17CN¥36.312
Jul ’24CN¥69.95
CN¥88.45
+26.4%
2.6%CN¥90.72CN¥86.17CN¥33.762
Jun ’24CN¥64.68
CN¥88.45
+36.7%
2.6%CN¥90.72CN¥86.17CN¥39.072
May ’24CN¥77.93
CN¥88.45
+13.5%
2.6%CN¥90.72CN¥86.17CN¥34.572
Apr ’24CN¥75.05
CN¥99.96
+33.2%
13.8%CN¥113.74CN¥86.17CN¥34.382
Mar ’24CN¥79.26
CN¥99.96
+26.1%
13.8%CN¥113.74CN¥86.17CN¥36.682
Feb ’24CN¥83.80
CN¥99.96
+19.3%
13.8%CN¥113.74CN¥86.17CN¥31.752
Jan ’24CN¥77.69
CN¥99.96
+28.7%
13.8%CN¥113.74CN¥86.17CN¥47.772
Dec ’23CN¥80.00
CN¥99.96
+24.9%
13.8%CN¥113.74CN¥86.17CN¥50.552
Nov ’23CN¥89.48
CN¥99.96
+11.7%
13.8%CN¥113.74CN¥86.17CN¥49.552

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.

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