Guizhou Aviation Technical Development Co., Ltd

SHSE:688239 Stock Report

Market Cap: CN¥5.7b

Guizhou Aviation Technical Development Valuation

Is 688239 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 688239 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 688239 (CN¥38.38) is trading above our estimate of fair value (CN¥8.55)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 688239 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 688239?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

688239 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue2.9x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA21.5x
PEG Ratio0.9x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 688239's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 688239 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average70.4x
300900 Guanglian Aviation Industry
50.8x39.6%CN¥5.6b
688510 Wuxi HyatechLtd
43.5x28.0%CN¥4.8b
600391 Aecc Aero Science and TechnologyLtd
93.9x49.5%CN¥5.3b
300722 Jiangxi Xinyu Guoke Technology
93.5xn/aCN¥6.6b
688239 Guizhou Aviation Technical Development
29.7x33.9%CN¥5.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 688239 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (29.7x) compared to the peer average (70.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 688239's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CN Aerospace & Defense Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a25.9%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a25.9%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 688239 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (29.7x) compared to the CN Aerospace & Defense industry average (57.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 688239's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

688239 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio29.7x
Fair PE Ratio26.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 688239 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (29.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 688239 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCN¥38.38
CN¥46.16
+20.3%
2.9%CN¥47.51CN¥44.80n/a2
Jun ’25CN¥39.07
CN¥65.49
+67.6%
31.6%CN¥86.17CN¥44.80n/a2
May ’25CN¥34.57
CN¥65.49
+89.4%
31.6%CN¥86.17CN¥44.80n/a2
Apr ’25CN¥34.38
CN¥76.78
+123.3%
12.2%CN¥86.17CN¥67.39n/a2
Mar ’25CN¥36.68
CN¥76.78
+109.3%
12.2%CN¥86.17CN¥67.39n/a2
Feb ’25CN¥31.75
CN¥76.78
+141.8%
12.2%CN¥86.17CN¥67.39n/a2
Jan ’25CN¥47.77
CN¥76.78
+60.7%
12.2%CN¥86.17CN¥67.39n/a2
Dec ’24CN¥50.55
CN¥76.78
+51.9%
12.2%CN¥86.17CN¥67.39n/a2
Nov ’24CN¥49.55
CN¥76.78
+55.0%
12.2%CN¥86.17CN¥67.39n/a2
Oct ’24CN¥56.64
CN¥84.57
+49.3%
1.9%CN¥86.17CN¥82.96n/a2
Sep ’24CN¥61.65
CN¥84.57
+37.2%
1.9%CN¥86.17CN¥82.96n/a2
Aug ’24CN¥57.80
CN¥88.45
+53.0%
2.6%CN¥90.72CN¥86.17n/a2
Jul ’24CN¥69.95
CN¥88.45
+26.4%
2.6%CN¥90.72CN¥86.17n/a2
Jun ’24CN¥64.68
CN¥88.45
+36.7%
2.6%CN¥90.72CN¥86.17CN¥39.072
May ’24CN¥77.93
CN¥88.45
+13.5%
2.6%CN¥90.72CN¥86.17CN¥34.572
Apr ’24CN¥75.05
CN¥99.96
+33.2%
13.8%CN¥113.74CN¥86.17CN¥34.382
Mar ’24CN¥79.26
CN¥99.96
+26.1%
13.8%CN¥113.74CN¥86.17CN¥36.682
Feb ’24CN¥83.80
CN¥99.96
+19.3%
13.8%CN¥113.74CN¥86.17CN¥31.752
Jan ’24CN¥77.69
CN¥99.96
+28.7%
13.8%CN¥113.74CN¥86.17CN¥47.772
Dec ’23CN¥80.00
CN¥99.96
+24.9%
13.8%CN¥113.74CN¥86.17CN¥50.552
Nov ’23CN¥89.48
CN¥99.96
+11.7%
13.8%CN¥113.74CN¥86.17CN¥49.552
Oct ’23CN¥73.52
CN¥87.76
+19.4%
1.8%CN¥89.35CN¥86.17CN¥56.642

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.


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