Shanghai Geoharbour Construction Group Co., Ltd.

SHSE:605598 Stock Report

Market Cap: CN¥4.5b

Shanghai Geoharbour Construction Group Valuation

Is 605598 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 605598 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 605598 (CN¥18.63) is trading above our estimate of fair value (CN¥3.7)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 605598 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 605598?

Key metric: As 605598 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 605598. This is calculated by dividing 605598's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 605598's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio32.6x
EarningsCN¥138.81m
Market CapCN¥4.55b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 605598's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 605598 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average45x
605167 Jiangsu Libert
19x23.0%CN¥4.6b
600284 Shanghai Pudong ConstructionLtd
11.3xn/aCN¥6.1b
603602 Hangzhou Freely Communication
108.1xn/aCN¥3.1b
301046 Shanghai Nenghui TechnologyLtd
41.5x29.4%CN¥3.3b
605598 Shanghai Geoharbour Construction Group
32.6x40.2%CN¥4.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 605598 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (32.6x) compared to the peer average (45x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 605598's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CN Construction Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
601668 China State Construction Engineering
4.9x6.8%US$33.85b
600248 Shaanxi Construction Engineering Group
4.2x12.6%US$2.29b
000498 Shandong Hi-Speed Road&Bridge Group
4.1x8.0%US$1.32b
002482 Shenzhen Grandland Group
2.5xn/aUS$958.29m
605598 32.6xIndustry Avg. 23.7xNo. of Companies16PE020406080100+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 605598 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (32.6x) compared to the CN Construction industry average (23.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 605598's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

605598 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio32.6x
Fair PE Ratio30.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 605598 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (32.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 605598 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCN¥18.63
CN¥26.10
+40.1%
8.0%CN¥28.19CN¥24.00n/a2
Nov ’25CN¥19.32
CN¥26.10
+35.1%
8.0%CN¥28.19CN¥24.00n/a2
Oct ’25CN¥20.63
CN¥25.34
+22.8%
5.3%CN¥26.67CN¥24.00n/a2
Sep ’25CN¥16.69
CN¥26.34
+57.8%
1.3%CN¥26.67CN¥26.00n/a2
Aug ’25CN¥19.35
CN¥27.17
+40.4%
4.3%CN¥28.34CN¥26.00n/a2
Jul ’25CN¥22.56
CN¥27.17
+20.4%
4.3%CN¥28.34CN¥26.00n/a2
Jun ’25CN¥20.12
CN¥27.17
+35.0%
4.3%CN¥28.34CN¥26.00n/a2
May ’25CN¥18.77
CN¥27.41
+46.0%
15.0%CN¥33.01CN¥23.21n/a3
Apr ’25CN¥19.20
CN¥32.09
+67.1%
2.6%CN¥33.01CN¥31.00n/a3
Mar ’25CN¥18.39
CN¥32.09
+74.5%
2.6%CN¥33.01CN¥31.00n/a3
Feb ’25CN¥17.77
CN¥32.09
+80.6%
2.6%CN¥33.01CN¥31.00n/a3
Jan ’25CN¥26.76
CN¥32.09
+19.9%
2.6%CN¥33.01CN¥31.00n/a3
Dec ’24CN¥28.48
CN¥31.63
+11.1%
2.0%CN¥32.26CN¥31.00n/a2
Nov ’24CN¥26.67
CN¥31.63
+18.6%
2.0%CN¥32.26CN¥31.00CN¥19.322
Oct ’24CN¥31.50
CN¥33.42
+6.1%
7.2%CN¥35.84CN¥31.00CN¥20.632
Sep ’24CN¥30.86
CN¥33.42
+8.3%
7.2%CN¥35.84CN¥31.00CN¥16.692
Aug ’24CN¥33.93
CN¥35.43
+4.4%
23.4%CN¥43.71CN¥27.14CN¥19.352
Jul ’24CN¥37.61
CN¥35.43
-5.8%
23.4%CN¥43.71CN¥27.14CN¥22.562
Jun ’24CN¥31.61
CN¥24.41
-22.8%
17.5%CN¥27.69CN¥18.39CN¥20.123
May ’24CN¥24.01
CN¥24.41
+1.6%
17.5%CN¥27.69CN¥18.39CN¥18.773
Apr ’24CN¥20.45
CN¥21.69
+6.1%
15.2%CN¥25.00CN¥18.39CN¥19.202
Mar ’24CN¥23.27
CN¥21.69
-6.8%
15.2%CN¥25.00CN¥18.39CN¥18.392
Feb ’24CN¥22.12
CN¥21.69
-1.9%
15.2%CN¥25.00CN¥18.39CN¥17.772
Jan ’24CN¥17.79
CN¥21.69
+22.0%
15.2%CN¥25.00CN¥18.39CN¥26.762
Dec ’23CN¥19.47
CN¥21.69
+11.4%
15.2%CN¥25.00CN¥18.39CN¥28.482

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.


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