Riyue Heavy IndustryLtd Valuation
Is 603218 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
3/6Valuation Score 3/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of 603218 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: 603218 (CN¥12.8) is trading above our estimate of fair value (CN¥0.31)
Significantly Below Fair Value: 603218 is trading above our estimate of fair value.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 603218?
Key metric: As 603218 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.
| What is 603218's PE Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| PE Ratio | 20.5x |
| Earnings | CN¥635.14m |
| Market Cap | CN¥13.05b |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 2.4x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 16x |
| PEG Ratio | 1.3x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does 603218's PE Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 29.8x | ||
600388 Fujian Longking | 27.5x | 36.7% | CN¥14.2b |
603337 Jack TechnologyLtd | 18.7x | 21.6% | CN¥13.9b |
603638 Yantai Eddie Precision Machinery | 39.8x | 12.1% | CN¥13.8b |
002698 Harbin Boshi Automation | 33.3x | 12.7% | CN¥15.0b |
603218 Riyue Heavy IndustryLtd | 20.5x | 16.1% | CN¥13.0b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 603218 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.5x) compared to the peer average (29.8x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does 603218's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CN Machinery Industry?
| 1 Company | Price / Earnings | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
002021 Zoje Resources Investment | 4.9x | n/a | US$421.91m |
| 1 Company | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 603218 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.5x) compared to the CN Machinery industry average (34.1x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is 603218's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PE Ratio | 20.5x |
| Fair PE Ratio | 20.7x |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 603218 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.7x).
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | CN¥12.80 | CN¥14.00 +9.3% | 13.2% | CN¥15.59 | CN¥11.40 | n/a | 3 |
| Nov ’25 | CN¥12.77 | CN¥12.89 +0.9% | 11.9% | CN¥15.00 | CN¥11.40 | n/a | 3 |
| Oct ’25 | CN¥12.60 | CN¥11.89 -5.6% | 3.1% | CN¥12.27 | CN¥11.40 | n/a | 3 |
| Sep ’25 | CN¥10.41 | CN¥11.94 +14.7% | 2.7% | CN¥12.27 | CN¥11.40 | n/a | 4 |
| Aug ’25 | CN¥10.19 | CN¥14.47 +42.0% | 12.2% | CN¥16.96 | CN¥12.10 | n/a | 4 |
| Jul ’25 | CN¥10.38 | CN¥14.47 +39.4% | 12.2% | CN¥16.96 | CN¥12.10 | n/a | 4 |
| Jun ’25 | CN¥12.01 | CN¥14.47 +20.4% | 12.2% | CN¥16.96 | CN¥12.10 | n/a | 4 |
| May ’25 | CN¥12.29 | CN¥13.42 +9.2% | 18.7% | CN¥16.96 | CN¥9.90 | n/a | 4 |
| Apr ’25 | CN¥12.01 | CN¥13.42 +11.7% | 18.7% | CN¥16.96 | CN¥9.90 | n/a | 4 |
| Mar ’25 | CN¥10.78 | CN¥13.42 +24.4% | 18.7% | CN¥16.96 | CN¥9.90 | n/a | 4 |
| Feb ’25 | CN¥9.58 | CN¥13.55 +41.5% | 21.3% | CN¥16.96 | CN¥9.90 | n/a | 3 |
| Jan ’25 | CN¥12.37 | CN¥15.49 +25.2% | 16.0% | CN¥17.50 | CN¥12.00 | n/a | 3 |
| Dec ’24 | CN¥12.86 | CN¥15.49 +20.4% | 16.0% | CN¥17.50 | CN¥12.00 | n/a | 3 |
| Nov ’24 | CN¥13.90 | CN¥17.37 +24.9% | 22.4% | CN¥23.00 | CN¥12.00 | CN¥12.77 | 4 |
| Oct ’24 | CN¥15.88 | CN¥19.91 +25.4% | 27.2% | CN¥28.00 | CN¥12.00 | CN¥12.60 | 5 |
| Sep ’24 | CN¥15.99 | CN¥27.32 +70.8% | 25.6% | CN¥38.00 | CN¥19.57 | CN¥10.41 | 5 |
| Aug ’24 | CN¥17.97 | CN¥29.55 +64.5% | 25.2% | CN¥44.00 | CN¥23.00 | CN¥10.19 | 6 |
| Jul ’24 | CN¥18.99 | CN¥29.55 +55.6% | 25.2% | CN¥44.00 | CN¥23.00 | CN¥10.38 | 6 |
| Jun ’24 | CN¥21.33 | CN¥29.55 +38.6% | 25.2% | CN¥44.00 | CN¥23.00 | CN¥12.01 | 6 |
| May ’24 | CN¥21.67 | CN¥29.05 +34.1% | 27.4% | CN¥44.00 | CN¥20.00 | CN¥12.29 | 6 |
| Apr ’24 | CN¥22.24 | CN¥30.30 +36.2% | 25.8% | CN¥44.00 | CN¥20.00 | CN¥12.01 | 5 |
| Mar ’24 | CN¥24.53 | CN¥30.12 +22.8% | 25.9% | CN¥44.00 | CN¥20.00 | CN¥10.78 | 5 |
| Feb ’24 | CN¥24.31 | CN¥30.12 +23.9% | 25.9% | CN¥44.00 | CN¥20.00 | CN¥9.58 | 5 |
| Jan ’24 | CN¥20.30 | CN¥30.12 +48.4% | 25.9% | CN¥44.00 | CN¥20.00 | CN¥12.37 | 5 |
| Dec ’23 | CN¥19.85 | CN¥30.67 +54.5% | 23.3% | CN¥44.00 | CN¥22.75 | CN¥12.86 | 5 |
| Nov ’23 | CN¥22.28 | CN¥30.07 +35.0% | 20.1% | CN¥41.00 | CN¥22.75 | CN¥13.90 | 5 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.
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