Stock Analysis
The three-year shareholder returns and company earnings persist lower as Riyue Heavy IndustryLtd (SHSE:603218) stock falls a further 7.5% in past week
While it may not be enough for some shareholders, we think it is good to see the Riyue Heavy Industry Co.,Ltd (SHSE:603218) share price up 28% in a single quarter. But that doesn't change the fact that the returns over the last three years have been disappointing. In that time, the share price dropped 67%. So it's good to see it climbing back up. While many would remain nervous, there could be further gains if the business can put its best foot forward.
Given the past week has been tough on shareholders, let's investigate the fundamentals and see what we can learn.
See our latest analysis for Riyue Heavy IndustryLtd
In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.
During the three years that the share price fell, Riyue Heavy IndustryLtd's earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 12% each year. The share price decline of 31% is actually steeper than the EPS slippage. So it's likely that the EPS decline has disappointed the market, leaving investors hesitant to buy.
You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).
We're pleased to report that the CEO is remunerated more modestly than most CEOs at similarly capitalized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here..
A Different Perspective
Investors in Riyue Heavy IndustryLtd had a tough year, with a total loss of 10% (including dividends), against a market gain of about 4.9%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 0.3% per year over five years. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Riyue Heavy IndustryLtd (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
But note: Riyue Heavy IndustryLtd may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:603218
Riyue Heavy IndustryLtd
Riyue Heavy Industry Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, and sale of large-scale heavy industry equipment castings in China.