Shanghai Tunnel Engineering Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of 600820 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

600820 (CN¥6.75) is trading below our estimate of [[fair value]] (CN¥9.59)

Is 600820 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 600820 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 600820 (CN¥6.75) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CN¥9.59)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 600820 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 600820?

Key metric: As 600820 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 600820. This is calculated by dividing 600820's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 600820's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	7.2x
Earnings	CN¥2.94b
Market Cap	CN¥20.97b

600820 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	0.6x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	11.9x
PEG Ratio	0.9x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 600820's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 600820 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	20.8x
600170 Shanghai Construction Group	14.2x	9.1%	CN¥23.1b
000032 Shenzhen SED Industry	44.4x	22.2%	CN¥21.5b
600528 China Railway Hi-tech Industry	12.3x	n/a	CN¥18.2b
601611 China Nuclear Engineering	12.2x	15.0%	CN¥26.5b
600820 Shanghai Tunnel Engineering	7.2x	8.0%	CN¥21.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 600820 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.2x) compared to the peer average (20.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 600820's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CN Construction Industry?

5 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
601668 China State Construction Engineering	4.9x	6.8%	US$34.18b
600248 Shaanxi Construction Engineering Group	4.3x	12.6%	US$2.31b
000498 Shandong Hi-Speed Road&Bridge Group	4.1x	8.0%	US$1.31b
002482 Shenzhen Grandland Group	2.5x	n/a	US$963.08m

5 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 600820 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.2x) compared to the CN Construction industry average (23.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 600820's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

600820 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	7.2x
Fair PE Ratio	17.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 600820 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.1x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 600820 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
Date	Share Price	Average 1Y Price Target	Dispersion	High	Low	1Y Actual price	Analysts
Current	CN¥6.75	CN¥8.64 +28.0%	20.2%	CN¥11.03	CN¥6.90	n/a	3
Nov ’25	CN¥6.96	CN¥8.64 +24.2%	20.2%	CN¥11.03	CN¥6.90	n/a	3
Oct ’25	CN¥6.62	CN¥8.54 +28.9%	13.8%	CN¥9.97	CN¥6.90	n/a	4
Sep ’25	CN¥5.77	CN¥8.54 +47.9%	13.8%	CN¥9.97	CN¥6.90	n/a	4
Aug ’25	CN¥6.98	CN¥8.60 +23.2%	14.7%	CN¥10.24	CN¥6.90	n/a	4
Jul ’25	CN¥6.66	CN¥8.60 +29.2%	14.7%	CN¥10.24	CN¥6.90	n/a	4
Jun ’25	CN¥6.75	CN¥8.60 +27.4%	14.7%	CN¥10.24	CN¥6.90	n/a	4
May ’25	CN¥6.72	CN¥8.60 +28.0%	14.7%	CN¥10.24	CN¥6.90	n/a	4
Apr ’25	CN¥6.41	CN¥7.89 +23.1%	9.7%	CN¥8.77	CN¥6.90	n/a	3
Mar ’25	CN¥6.22	CN¥7.84 +26.0%	11.9%	CN¥8.77	CN¥6.90	n/a	2
Feb ’25	CN¥5.78	CN¥7.84 +35.6%	11.9%	CN¥8.77	CN¥6.90	n/a	2

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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