Stock Analysis

Pulling back 4.4% this week, Tongling Jingda Special Magnet Wire's SHSE:600577) five-year decline in earnings may be coming into investors focus

SHSE:600577
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Stock pickers are generally looking for stocks that will outperform the broader market. And the truth is, you can make significant gains if you buy good quality businesses at the right price. For example, the Tongling Jingda Special Magnet Wire Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600577) share price is up 35% in the last 5 years, clearly besting the market return of around 12% (ignoring dividends). However, more recent returns haven't been as impressive as that, with the stock returning just 3.9% in the last year, including dividends.

Since the long term performance has been good but there's been a recent pullback of 4.4%, let's check if the fundamentals match the share price.

View our latest analysis for Tongling Jingda Special Magnet Wire

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

Tongling Jingda Special Magnet Wire's earnings per share are down 1.3% per year, despite strong share price performance over five years.

By glancing at these numbers, we'd posit that the decline in earnings per share is not representative of how the business has changed over the years. Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.

On the other hand, Tongling Jingda Special Magnet Wire's revenue is growing nicely, at a compound rate of 11% over the last five years. In that case, the company may be sacrificing current earnings per share to drive growth.

You can see how earnings and revenue have changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SHSE:600577 Earnings and Revenue Growth May 25th 2024

We know that Tongling Jingda Special Magnet Wire has improved its bottom line lately, but what does the future have in store? This free report showing analyst forecasts should help you form a view on Tongling Jingda Special Magnet Wire

What About Dividends?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of Tongling Jingda Special Magnet Wire, it has a TSR of 52% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

A Different Perspective

It's nice to see that Tongling Jingda Special Magnet Wire shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 3.9% over the last year. That's including the dividend. However, that falls short of the 9% TSR per annum it has made for shareholders, each year, over five years. The pessimistic view would be that be that the stock has its best days behind it, but on the other hand the price might simply be moderating while the business itself continues to execute. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Even so, be aware that Tongling Jingda Special Magnet Wire is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Tongling Jingda Special Magnet Wire is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.